Routine-biased technological change and employee outcomes after mass layoffs: evidence from Brazil

IF 2.8 4区管理学 Q2 BUSINESS

Industrial and Corporate Change Pub Date : 2023-11-16 DOI:10.1093/icc/dtad063

Antonio Martins-Neto, Xavier Cirera, Alex Coad

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引用次数: 3

Abstract

We investigate the impact of “routinization” on the labor outcomes of displaced workers. We use a rich Brazilian panel dataset and an occupation-task mapping to examine the effect of job displacement in different groups, classified according to their tasks. Our main result is that following a layoff, workers previously employed in routine-intensive occupations suffer a more significant decline in wages and more extended periods of unemployment. As expected, job displacement has a negative and lasting impact on wages. Still, workers in routine-intensive occupations are more impacted than those in non-routine occupations in terms of wages (an increase of one point in the routine-intensity index results in a further decline of 2% in workers’ relative wages) and employment. Furthermore, our results indicate that workers in routine-intensive occupations are more likely to change occupations after the shock, and those who do not switch occupational fields suffer a more significant decline in wages. Lastly, even though the loss of employer-specific wage premiums explains 13% of displaced workers’ drop in wages, it does not explain routine-intensive workers’ more substantial losses.

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大规模裁员后，偏向常规的技术变革和员工结果:来自巴西的证据

我们调查了“常规化”对失业工人劳动结果的影响。我们使用丰富的巴西面板数据集和职业任务映射来检查不同群体的工作位移的影响，根据他们的任务分类。我们的主要结果是，在裁员之后，以前从事常规密集型职业的工人工资下降幅度更大，失业时间更长。正如预期的那样，失业对工资有负面和持久的影响。尽管如此，在工资和就业方面，常规密集型职业的工人比非常规职业的工人受到的影响更大(常规强度指数每增加一个点，工人的相对工资就会进一步下降2%)。此外，我们的研究结果表明，从事常规密集型职业的工人更有可能在冲击后转行，而那些没有转行的工人的工资下降幅度更大。最后，尽管雇主特定工资溢价的损失可以解释13%的失业工人工资下降，但这并不能解释常规密集型工人更大的损失。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Industrial and Corporate Change Multiple-

CiteScore

5.10

自引率

4.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The journal covers the following: the internal structures of firms; the history of technologies; the evolution of industries; the nature of competition; the decision rules and strategies; the relationship between firms" characteristics and the institutional environment; the sociology of management and of the workforce; the performance of industries over time; the labour process and the organization of production; the relationship between, and boundaries of, organizations and markets; the nature of the learning process underlying technological and organizational change.