A study on China's education level and average age of first marriage

Jingtong Song, Jiuqiang Liu, Huiqing Shi, Dan Song
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Abstract

China's fertility problem has attracted more and more attention, especially in the education level and the age of first marriage. Census data show that China's fertility rate from 2000 to 2020 tends to gradually decline, the age of first marriage is gradually postponed under the condition of different levels of education, and the childbearing age is also constantly postponed, in the short 20 years of a sharp decline in fertility, China's fertility policy has also been adjusted. However, at present, the change of the birth policy has only brought a very short-term effect, and the decline in the fertility rate is only a fact that cannot be changed by adjusting the birth policy. Therefore, based on the data of the fifth, sixth and seventh census data, this paper analyzes the change trend of average age of first marriage, the trend of education level and age of first marriage, the change trend of national average childbearing age and the average childbearing age of various regions in China. The study found that the average age of first marriage of the population in China continues to be postponed, the average age of first marriage in urban areas is higher than that in towns and villages, overall, the average age of first marriage of women in 2020 will reach 28.14 years old, and the average age of first marriage of men will reach 29.3 years; by 2020, with the improvement of education level, the age of first marriage of the population with postgraduate degrees will reach 44% at the age of 30 and later; The national average childbearing age increased from 25.91 years in 1990 to 28.91 years in 2022. In the seventh population census, the average childbearing age of each region was higher than that in Beijing, Shanghai, Shandong, Guangdong and Shaanxi, among which the average childbearing age in Beijing reached 31.51 years, Shanghai was 30.08 years, Shandong was 29.76 years, Guangdong was 29.38 years old, and Shaanxi was 29.53 years.
中国教育水平与初婚平均年龄研究
中国的生育问题引起了越来越多的关注,特别是在教育水平和初婚年龄方面。人口普查数据显示,2000年至2020年中国的生育率有逐渐下降的趋势,初婚年龄在不同教育水平条件下逐渐推迟,生育年龄也在不断推迟,在生育率急剧下降的短短20年里,中国的生育政策也进行了调整。但是,目前来看,生育政策的改变只带来了非常短期的效果,生育率的下降只是一个事实,不能通过调整生育政策来改变。因此,本文基于第五次、第六次和第七次人口普查数据,分析了中国平均初婚年龄的变化趋势、教育水平和初婚年龄的变化趋势、全国平均生育年龄的变化趋势以及中国各地区平均生育年龄的变化趋势。研究发现,中国人口平均初婚年龄持续推迟,城镇平均初婚年龄高于乡镇,总体来看,2020年女性平均初婚年龄将达到28.14岁,男性平均初婚年龄将达到29.3岁;到2020年,随着教育水平的提高,30岁及以后研究生学历人口的初婚年龄将达到44%;全国平均生育年龄从1990年的25.91岁提高到2022年的28.91岁。在第七次人口普查中,各地区的平均生育年龄均高于北京、上海、山东、广东和陕西,其中北京的平均生育年龄为31.51岁,上海为30.08岁,山东为29.76岁,广东为29.38岁,陕西为29.53岁。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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