Impact of Human Capital Development on Economic Progress: A Panel Data Analysis by Using Classical and Bayesian Estimates

Nayab Minhaj, Roohi Ahmed, Qasim Shah
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Abstract

This comparative research debates a magnified role of human capital development in selected developed, developing economies and less developing economies, including Pakistan. Between 1990 and 2019, two-panel data analysis techniques were employed, one classical and the other Bayesian. The key objective of this study was to investigate the impact of human capital development on economic growth, and also suggest the best statistical techniques for developing an appropriate model. GDP is the dependent variable, whereas the independent variables are human capital, physical capital, physical and human capital growth, health expenditure, education spending, and life expectancy rate. For the optimal model, both Bayesian and classical approaches were used to analyze the appropriate model. Empirical evidence has shown that human capital is the most important factor and is directly correlated with growth in any economy Furthermore, the findings suggested that Bayesian techniques produce more appropriate models for policy implications than classical techniques.
人力资本发展对经济发展的影响:基于经典和贝叶斯估计的面板数据分析
这项比较研究讨论了人力资本开发在选定的发达经济体、发展中经济体和欠发达经济体(包括巴基斯坦)中所发挥的放大作用。在1990年至2019年期间,采用了双面板数据分析技术,一个是经典的,另一个是贝叶斯的。本研究的主要目的是探讨人力资本发展对经济增长的影响,并提出最佳的统计技术,以建立适当的模型。GDP是因变量,而自变量是人力资本、物质资本、物质和人力资本增长、卫生支出、教育支出和预期寿命率。对于最优模型,采用贝叶斯方法和经典方法对合适的模型进行分析。经验证据表明,人力资本是最重要的因素,与任何经济体的增长直接相关。此外,研究结果表明,贝叶斯技术比经典技术产生更合适的政策影响模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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