Does Rocky Mountain Credit Union Competition still Affect Commercial Bank Interest Rates?

Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Robert J. Tokle, Bryce Jones, Steven L. Fullerton
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Abstract

Historically, increased credit union competition in Idaho and Montana has caused commercial banks to offer higher deposit rates to savers and lower loan rates to borrowers. Data are collected for the second quarter of 2018 to examine whether that pattern still holds true. Unlike prior studies, empirical results indicate that credit union competition no longer exerts statistically reliable impacts on deposit rates or loan rates in this northern Rocky Mountain region of the United States. Potential contributing factors include bank and thrift consolidation in recent years, the low interest rate environment prevailing during the late 2010s, and greater emphasis on non-interest forms of intermediary competition in the banking markets that comprise this regional economy.

落基山信用社的竞争还会影响商业银行的利率吗?
p class=" font- family:宋体" style="margin-top: 12.0pt;衬线字体类型:“威尔士”;font-family:宋体;从历史上看,爱达荷州和蒙大拿州信用合作社竞争的加剧导致商业银行向储户提供更高的存款利率,向借款人提供更低的贷款利率。我们收集了2018年第二季度的数据,以检验这种模式是否仍然成立。与先前的研究不同,实证结果表明,在美国落基山脉北部地区,信用合作社的竞争不再对存款利率或贷款利率产生统计上可靠的影响。潜在的促成因素包括近年来银行和储蓄机构的整合,2010年代末普遍存在的低利率环境,以及在构成该地区经济的银行市场中更加重视非利息形式的中介竞争。
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