Understanding public attitudes toward restrictive voting laws in the United States

Katherine Clayton
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Abstract

Existing research on voting legislation argues that Republican lawmakers enact strict voting laws as part of a racialized, partisan electoral strategy—they believe that the laws will reduce minority turnout and benefit Republicans electorally. Yet, the empirical effects of strict voting laws on turnout are mixed, with some studies finding that restrictive legislation can actually increase minority turnout due to counter-mobilization effects. I leverage this empirical finding to study the foundations of public attitudes toward voting laws, specifically testing whether exposure to information that restrictive voting laws can boost minority turnout impacts Republicans’ or Democrats’ attitudes. My results show that Republican support for restrictive voting laws generally does not change in response to information about the consequences of the laws, but Democrats are significantly less opposed when they become aware of the laws’ potential impact on minority turnout. These results pose challenges for building majorities that will defend the franchise in the United States.
了解公众对美国限制性选举法的态度
现有的关于投票立法的研究认为,共和党立法者制定严格的投票法律是种族化的、党派化的选举策略的一部分——他们认为这些法律会减少少数族裔的投票率,从而在选举中有利于共和党人。然而,严格的选举法对投票率的实证影响是喜忧参半的,一些研究发现,限制性立法实际上可以通过反动员效应增加少数民族的投票率。我利用这一实证发现来研究公众对选举法态度的基础,特别是测试是否暴露于限制性选举法可以提高少数民族投票率的信息会影响共和党或民主党的态度。我的研究结果显示,共和党人对限制性选举法的支持通常不会随着有关法律后果的信息而改变,但当民主党人意识到法律对少数族裔投票率的潜在影响时,他们的反对态度明显减少。这些结果对在美国建立捍卫选举权的多数派构成了挑战。
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