The Impact of Stock Selection, Market Timing and Equity Fund Size on Equity Funds Performance during Covid-19

Arifin Hasudungan Manurung, Pardomuan Sihombing
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Abstract

Investors in Indonesia pay attention to the financial market's investment tools, including mutual funds. Some mutual funds even provide a higher return on investment than alternative stock investments, with a lower level of risk be-cause investment managers properly manage them. This research aims to determine how stock mutual fund success is affected by factors such as stock selection, market timing, mutual fund size, and Covid-19, with Covid-19 serving as a moderator. Purposive sampling was utilized to conduct research on Indonesian equity funds. This study's sample consists of equity funds administered by fourteen investment management firms authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (OJK). Panel data regression analysis in Eviews is used to examine the information. It was discovered that neither mutual fund size nor Covid-19 played a statistically important role in determining the success of equity funds. However, equity fund returns are significantly influenced by company picking and market timing. As a supplementary benefit, Covid-19 can significantly reduce the beneficial effects of overly optimistic stock picking on the returns of equity funds. This research also demonstrates that the effects of mutual fund size and market timing on stock fund returns are not reduced by using Covid-19.
新冠肺炎期间股票选择、入市时机和股票基金规模对股票基金业绩的影响
印尼投资者关注金融市场的投资工具,包括共同基金。一些共同基金甚至比另类股票投资提供更高的投资回报,而风险水平较低,因为投资经理对它们进行了适当的管理。本研究旨在确定股票型共同基金的成功如何受到股票选择、市场时机、共同基金规模和Covid-19等因素的影响,其中Covid-19起到了调节作用。采用目的性抽样对印尼股票型基金进行研究。本研究的样本包括由金融服务管理局(OJK)授权和监管的14家投资管理公司管理的股票基金。使用Eviews中的面板数据回归分析来检查信息。研究发现,无论是共同基金的规模还是新冠肺炎疫情,在决定股票基金的成功与否方面都没有起到统计学上的重要作用。然而,股票基金的回报受到公司选择和市场时机的显著影响。作为补充好处,新冠肺炎可以显著降低过度乐观的选股对股票基金回报的有利影响。本研究还表明,共同基金规模和市场时机对股票基金收益的影响并没有因为使用Covid-19而降低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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