MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF THE IMPACT OF WANING IMMUNITY AND IMMUNE SYSTEM BOOSTING ON MALARIA TRANSMISSION

Famane Kambiré, Blaise Somé
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Abstract

A deterministic model is formulated to describe the dynamics of malaria transmission using mosquito population and human population structured by immune status. The variation in mortality of humans and mosquitoes due to causes other than malaria, the infectiousness of recovered humans, the decay of acquired immunity and the immune system boosting are taken into account. The existence of biological meaningful solutions has been analyzed and a single disease-free equilibrium has been identified. The basic reproduction number is expressed in terms of the parameters of the model. The stability of the disease-free equilibrium has been analyzed. We have provided some basic conditions in which the disease dies out or persists. The numerical results showed the impact of immunity decay and immune system boosting on malaria transmission. Received: July 31, 2023Accepted: September 26, 2023
免疫减弱和免疫系统增强对疟疾传播影响的数学模型
建立了一个确定性模型来描述疟疾传播的动态,使用蚊子种群和按免疫状态结构的人类种群。除疟疾以外,人类和蚊子死亡率的变化、康复后人类的传染性、获得性免疫的衰退和免疫系统的增强都被考虑在内。已经分析了存在的有生物学意义的解决方案,并确定了一个单一的无病平衡。基本再现数用模型参数表示。对无病平衡的稳定性进行了分析。我们已经提供了一些基本条件,使这种疾病得以消灭或持续下去。数值结果显示了免疫衰减和免疫系统增强对疟疾传播的影响。收稿日期:2023年7月31日。收稿日期:2023年9月26日
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