EVALUATING THE PERFORMANCE OF MACHINE LEARNING ALGORITHMS FOR PREDICTING METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS

Yannick MUBAKILAYI, Simon Ntumba, Pierre Kafunda, Gracias Kabulu, Theodore Kabangu, Christian Kabeya
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Abstract

Artificial learning techniques are currently used for weather and climate forecasting, etc. In this paper, we will evaluate three algorithms for predicting meteorological parameters based on the humidity parameter. Our dataset was taken from Mbujimayi airport in the DRC. So, having the real-world data at our disposal, we used these Machine Learning tools to interpret and understand what happened by training the three models separately, and draw the conclusion as to which was the best model. Then, we used the three models to make some predictions about what our environment will be like tomorrow, and to draw conclusions and make decisions about whether or not our climate is already facing climate change. Three models are used: Decision tree, k-nearest neighbor and neural network, the analysis reveals that of the three models tested, the decision tree scored 81.8% after training with an average prediction of 71.5%, in second place we have the K-nearest neighbor with a score of 70% after training with an average prediction of 70, 8% and the cloture neural network with 64% training and an average prediction of 66.1%. Thus, the decision tree outperforms the other models in terms of training and prediction of meteorological parameters, and is the best model with a very high performance compared to the other models.
评估预测气象参数的机器学习算法的性能
人工学习技术目前用于天气和气候预报等。本文将对基于湿度参数的三种气象参数预测算法进行评价。我们的数据集取自刚果民主共和国的Mbujimayi机场。所以,有了真实世界的数据,我们使用这些机器学习工具来解释和理解分别训练三个模型所发生的事情,并得出结论,哪个是最好的模型。然后,我们使用这三个模型来预测我们明天的环境会是什么样子,并得出结论,并决定我们的气候是否已经面临气候变化。我们使用了决策树、k近邻和神经网络三种模型,分析表明,在测试的三种模型中,决策树训练后得分为81.8%,平均预测率为71.5%,k近邻训练后得分为70%,平均预测率为70.8%,而cloture神经网络训练后得分为64%,平均预测率为66.1%。因此,决策树在气象参数的训练和预测方面优于其他模型,是最好的模型,与其他模型相比具有非常高的性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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