Do Oversubscribed IPOs Perform Better in the Long Run? Evidence from the Emerging Economy of India

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Anil Kumar, Madhu Totla
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Abstract

Purpose : The study aimed to broaden and contextualize the emerging knowledge about the impact of initial public offerings (IPOs) on the operating performance and financial health of public firms in India and whether oversubscription and underpricing of the IPO firms determined the change in performance. Design : It entailed the comparison of pre-IPO and post-IPO performance for 3 years by employing data from 95 IPO firms getting listed on the main board segment of NSE and BSE in India between April 2012 and March 2018. Methodology : The methodology consisted of both univariate and multivariate data analysis techniques. Multivariate regression analysis determined whether underpricing and subscription levels determined IPO firms’ post-issue long-run operating performance. Findings : The study suggested that operating performance dropped significantly while financial health improved post-IPO. Both oversubscription and underpricing were not predicting factors of change in performance post-IPO. Rather, issue size, offer price, and post-issue promoter holding significantly and negatively impacted the change in performance ; whereas, age positively and significantly determined the change in performance after the IPOs. Practical Implications : The study recommended that, with the indication of earnings management being done just before the IPOs, investors need to exercise caution in relying on the financials immediately before the IPO. The findings of the study will guide investors in making accurate investments in the primary and secondary equity markets. Originality : Unlike previous research, this study examined the impact of IPOs on the firms’ financial health post-issue and whether subscription to IPOs determined the change in performance of new listings on the main board segment in India.
超额认购的ipo长期表现更好吗?来自印度新兴经济体的证据
目的:本研究旨在拓宽和背景化有关首次公开募股(IPO)对印度上市公司的经营业绩和财务健康的影响的新兴知识,以及IPO公司的超额认购和定价过低是否决定了业绩的变化。设计:通过使用2012年4月至2018年3月期间在印度NSE和BSE主板上市的95家IPO公司的数据,对IPO前和IPO后3年的表现进行了比较。方法学:方法学包括单变量和多变量数据分析技术。多元回归分析确定了低定价和认购水平是否决定IPO公司发行后的长期经营绩效。研究发现:上市后,经营业绩显著下降,财务健康状况有所改善。超额认购和定价过低都不能预测ipo后业绩变化的因素。相反,发行规模、发行价格和发行后发起人持有显著负向影响业绩变化;而年龄对ipo后业绩变化有显著的正向影响。实际意义:研究建议,由于上市前出现了盈余管理的迹象,投资者在依赖上市前的财务报告时需要谨慎。研究结果将指导投资者在一级和二级股票市场进行准确的投资。原创性:与以往的研究不同,本研究考察了ipo对公司发行后财务状况的影响,以及ipo认购是否决定了印度主板新上市公司业绩的变化。
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来源期刊
Indian Journal of Finance
Indian Journal of Finance Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
37
期刊介绍: a source of sophisticated analysis of developments in the rapidly expanding world of finance, is a double blind peer reviewed refereed monthly journal that publishes articles on a wide variety of topics ranging from corporate to personal finance, insurance to financial economics, and derivatives. It provides a forum for exchange of ideas and techniques among academicians and practitioners and thereby, advances applied research in financial management. The journal, with its mission to promote thinking on various facets of finance, is targeted at academicians, scholars, and professionals associated with the field of finance to promote pragmatic research by disseminating the results of research in finance, accounting, financial economics, and sub - areas such as theory and analysis of fiscal markets and instruments, financial derivatives research, insurance, portfolio selection, credit and market risk, statistical and empirical financial studies based on advanced stochastic methods, financial instruments for risk management, uncertainty, and information in relation to finance.
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