Non-renewable energy effects of trade in intermediate and final products: Evidence from emerging industrial economies

IF 4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Mehmet Demiral, Özge Demiral, Özlem Öztürk-Çetenak, Gürçem Özaytürk, İbrahim Özaytürk
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Abstract

The interest in the trade–environment nexus is growing for emerging countries as their participation in world trade is increasing. However, the available evidence regarding the non-renewable energy effects of trade in intermediate and final products is limited. This study addresses this gap and investigates the separate effects of per capita exports and imports of intermediate and final products on per capita non-renewable energy supply (NES) in the case of 22 emerging industrial economies (EIEs) between 1995 and 2018. The study also considers per capita environmental inventions (EnvINV), industry value-added (IND), services value-added (SERV), and renewable energy supply (RES). After confirming that the modeled variables are cross-sectionally dependent, first-difference stationary, and cointegrated, the long-run heterogeneous coefficients are estimated through the common correlated effects mean group and augmented mean group estimators. Consistent results show that although both are positively associated with NES, the magnitudes of the impacts of intermediate product imports are higher than that of intermediate product exports. Similar effects are observed in the final product trade. The Dumitrescu–Hurlin test finds unidirectional causalities from all trade indicators to NES. Additional results reveal positive impacts of IND and SERV, negative effects of RES, and insignificant impacts of EnvINV. Several policy insights are provided to better inform practitioners about the environmental implications of emerging economies’ trade specialization pattern in energy-intensive global production networks.
中间产品和最终产品贸易的不可再生能源效应:来自新兴工业经济体的证据
随着新兴国家越来越多地参与世界贸易,它们对贸易-环境关系的兴趣也越来越大。然而,关于中间产品和最终产品贸易的不可再生能源影响的现有证据是有限的。本研究解决了这一差距,并调查了1995年至2018年间22个新兴工业经济体(EIEs)的人均中间和最终产品进出口对人均不可再生能源供应(NES)的单独影响。该研究还考虑了人均环境发明(EnvINV)、工业增加值(IND)、服务增加值(SERV)和可再生能源供应(RES)。在确认模型变量是横截面相关、一差平稳和协整的之后,通过共同相关效应均值组和增广均值组估计来估计长期异质性系数。一致的结果表明,虽然两者都与经济增加值呈正相关,但中间产品进口的影响程度高于中间产品出口的影响程度。在最终产品贸易中也观察到类似的效应。dumitrescu_hurlin检验发现了所有贸易指标对NES的单向因果关系。其他结果显示IND和SERV有积极影响,RES有消极影响,而EnvINV的影响不显著。本文提供了一些政策见解,以便从业者更好地了解新兴经济体在能源密集型全球生产网络中的贸易专业化模式对环境的影响。
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来源期刊
Energy & Environment
Energy & Environment ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
7.10%
发文量
157
期刊介绍: Energy & Environment is an interdisciplinary journal inviting energy policy analysts, natural scientists and engineers, as well as lawyers and economists to contribute to mutual understanding and learning, believing that better communication between experts will enhance the quality of policy, advance social well-being and help to reduce conflict. The journal encourages dialogue between the social sciences as energy demand and supply are observed and analysed with reference to politics of policy-making and implementation. The rapidly evolving social and environmental impacts of energy supply, transport, production and use at all levels require contribution from many disciplines if policy is to be effective. In particular E & E invite contributions from the study of policy delivery, ultimately more important than policy formation. The geopolitics of energy are also important, as are the impacts of environmental regulations and advancing technologies on national and local politics, and even global energy politics. Energy & Environment is a forum for constructive, professional information sharing, as well as debate across disciplines and professions, including the financial sector. Mathematical articles are outside the scope of Energy & Environment. The broader policy implications of submitted research should be addressed and environmental implications, not just emission quantities, be discussed with reference to scientific assumptions. This applies especially to technical papers based on arguments suggested by other disciplines, funding bodies or directly by policy-makers.
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