Order and Disorder in World Politics G. John Ikenberry

Gilford John Ikenberry
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Abstract

We live in an age of disorder. This essay explores the various ways in which disorder has played out in global politics. I begin by defining what scholars mean by global or international order. After this, I look at the various features of disorder – its types, its causes, and its consequences. I argue that not all disorder is unwelcome. Disorder can generate both positive and negative life experiences. It can variously undermine or advance the human condition. I argue that modern industrial societies are actually premised on the expectation of ongoing disorder, as revolutions and advances in science and technology destabilize societies and force people to adjust, often with the promise of greater economic and societal benefits. I argue that the most farreaching forms of disorder have occurred in the aftermath of major wars – the Napoleonic war, the world wars, and the Cold War. This is disorder that is the result of powerful states engaged in violent efforts to overturn world order and redirect the pathway of modernity. Finally, I end by looking at features of the current global order that provide sources of stability and resiliency, doing so in the face of the great and growing storms of the 21st century.
《世界政治的秩序与无序》G.约翰·伊肯伯里
我们生活在一个混乱的时代。本文探讨了无序在全球政治中发挥作用的各种方式。首先,我将定义学者们所说的全球或国际秩序。在此之后,我将探讨紊乱的各种特征——它的类型、原因和后果。我认为并非所有的混乱都是不受欢迎的。紊乱可以产生积极和消极的生活经历。它可以在不同程度上破坏或改善人类的状况。我认为,现代工业社会实际上是以对持续无序的预期为前提的,因为革命和科学技术的进步破坏了社会的稳定,迫使人们进行调整,往往伴随着更大的经济和社会效益的承诺。我认为,影响最深远的混乱形式发生在重大战争之后——拿破仑战争、世界大战和冷战。这种混乱是强国以暴力手段推翻世界秩序、改变现代性道路的结果。最后,我将着眼于当前全球秩序的特征,这些特征提供了稳定和弹性的来源,在面对21世纪不断增长的巨大风暴时也是如此。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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