Does INDONESIAN CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENT?: A RELATION BETWEEN PRICE-VOLUME

Said Kelana Asnawi, Samuel Pratama, Hans Christian Kurniawan, Samuel Yosua Rodjana
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Abstract

Efficient markets show prices have reflected information. In an efficient market, the pattern of price movements is a random walk, meaning that prices cannot be predicted accurately, so investors do not get abnormal returns. The informations used in this study are: lag-return (r-1); lag return(r-2); trading volume, as well as the synergy between (r-1) and trading volume. This research found that the coefficient was not significant in almost all tests. Investors cannot use past information to get abnormal returns Thus the efficient market hypothesis is proven. This efficient market situation shows that all market participants have equal opportunities in terms of risk-return.
印尼资本市场有效吗?价格与数量的关系
有效市场表明价格反映了信息。在一个有效市场中,价格运动的模式是随机游走的,这意味着价格无法准确预测,因此投资者不会获得异常回报。本研究使用的信息是:滞后回报(r-1);延迟返回(r2);交易量,以及(r-1)与交易量的协同作用。本研究发现,在几乎所有的测试中,系数都不显著。投资者不能利用过去的信息获得异常收益,从而证明了有效市场假说。这种有效的市场情况表明,所有市场参与者在风险回报方面都有平等的机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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