Analysis of Start-Up Share Valuation on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2017-2022 Period Using the DFC GMV and Tobins'q Methods

Hartono Hartono
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Abstract

The phenomenon of the proliferation of startup companies in Indonesia that cannot be separated from the use of digital technology brings a fragrant aroma to venture capital investment companies. The number of startup companies that received the investment funds are bringing them to the Indonesian Stock Exchange by conducting an IPO even though the company has not been established for a long time. There is a correlation between the rapid growth of startups in Indonesia with "bubble.com" the phenomenon that occurred in Silicon Valley between the years 1999 and 2000. The surge in assets of startup companies is currently caused by stock valuation, which is based on a single valuation, without assessing assets, cash flows, or other aspects that affect the valuation value of a company. Recently, the stock price of startup companies began to fall, and is considered the same as the phenomenon "bubble.com" another indication is that there are mass layoffs of company employees; this condition also occurs in Silicon Valley. In this case, it is necessary to conduct an intrinsic assessment of startup shares empirically and in accordance with applicable valuation standards to see the condition of the company as a whole. The valuation methods used in this study are Gross Merchandise Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Tobins'q, it is expected that these three methods can represent the valuation analysis of the company so that investors know the intrinsic value of startup companies and are expected not to be Overvalued.
基于DFC GMV和Tobins'q方法的2017-2022年印尼证券交易所初创公司股票估值分析
与数字技术的使用分不开的创业公司在印尼遍地开花的现象,给风险投资公司带来了一股香气。很多获得投资资金的创业公司虽然成立时间不长,但通过首次公开募股(IPO)将资金带到印尼证券交易所。印尼创业公司的快速增长与“bubble.com”(1999年至2000年间硅谷出现的现象)之间存在关联。目前创业公司的资产激增是由股票估值引起的,它是基于单一的估值,没有评估资产、现金流或其他影响公司估值价值的方面。最近,创业公司的股价开始下跌,并被认为是与“泡沫网”现象相同的另一个迹象是公司员工出现大规模裁员;这种情况也发生在硅谷。在这种情况下,有必要根据适用的估值标准对创业公司股票进行实证的内在评估,以了解公司的整体状况。本研究使用的估值方法是Gross Merchandise Value, discount Cash Flow和Tobins'q,期望这三种方法能够代表公司的估值分析,让投资者了解创业公司的内在价值,不被高估。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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