Shifty Speech and Independent Thought: Epistemic Normativity in Context

IF 2.8 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY
Dorit Ganson
{"title":"<i>Shifty Speech and Independent Thought: Epistemic Normativity in Context</i>","authors":"Dorit Ganson","doi":"10.1215/00318108-10469564","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Crafted within a knowledge-first epistemological framework, Mona Simion’s engaging and wide-ranging work ensures that both the Knowledge Norm of Assertion (KNA) and Classical Invariantism (CI) can be part of a viable and productive research program.Dissatisfied with current strategies on offer in the literature, she successfully counters objections to the pair sourced in “shiftiness intuitions”—intuitions that seem to indicate that mere changes in practical context can impact the propriety of assertions and knowledge attributions. For example, in Keith DeRose’s famous pair of low stakes versus high stakes bank cases, the consequences of Keith’s acting on The bank is open on Saturday if it were false change from trivial in low stakes to catastrophic in high stakes. We are to suppose that the proposition is true, and that Keith has access to the same quantity and quality of evidence for it in both cases. In low stakes, but not in high stakes, we are inclined to think that Keith can appropriately assert to his inquiring wife “The bank is open on Saturday.” In low stakes, Keith’s knowledge ascription “I know that the bank is open on Saturday” strikes us as aptly asserted and true. In high stakes only a knowledge denial on Keith’s part strikes us as aptly asserted and true.If we want to hang on to KNA, it looks like we will have to abandon CI and concede that ‘knows’ or knowledge is sensitive to changes in practical considerations. If we want to retain CI, we can try to say that, while Keith does still know that the bank is open on Saturday in high stakes, he does not have sufficient warrant to properly assert that it is. But such a move seems to run counter to KNA. We appear to be stuck in the Shiftiness Dilemma.Keen to get us out of the dilemma and to preserve the idea that epistemically good thinking and asserting are independent of practical concerns, Simion suggests a strategy that can also be used to protect other epistemic speech-act norms and notions from similar threats of practical shiftiness. She notes that having an impact on the degree of epistemic warrant required is not enough to make a norm an epistemic one. Fair enough. If I am given strong practical reason (a million dollars, or a gun to the head) not to adopt full belief until I have gathered more evidence, there is potentially some nonepistemic norm at work in the demand for further evidence. So it is a live possibility (indeed, a plausible one, as Simion would say) that our intuitions in the Shiftiness Dilemma are being misdescribed: they are tracking all-things-considered propriety of assertion, not epistemic propriety. In high stakes, practical norms override the epistemic norm KNA. Keith’s asserting “The bank is open on Saturday” would be epistemically proper but all-things-considered improper.Simion backs up her account with an etiological-function origin story and typology for the norms of assertion. Here is her characterization of etiological function for traits, artifacts, and actions. E-function.A token of type T has the e-function of type B of producing effect E in a system S iff (1) tokens of T produced E in the past, (2) producing E resulted in benefit of type B in S/S’s ancestors, and (3) producing E’s having B-benefited S’s ancestors contributes to the explanation of why T exists in S.In this schema, norms governing an action are typed by the functions or purposes of the action, which in turn are typed by the benefits the action delivers. The epistemic norm of assertion will be the one that characteristically and reliably enables participants in the practice of assertion to secure its primary epistemic good, which Simion identifies as knowledge (testimonial knowledge in hearers generated under normal conditions by the assertions of knowledgeable speakers). Moves in a practice either directly or indirectly aim at fulfilling the goal of the practice. Assertion is a move in the practice of inquiry, which has the generation of knowledge as its aim. Hence, Simion concludes, assertion aims at generating knowledge.This account helps to explain why, in cases like high stakes, Keith all-things-considered ought not to assert “The bank is open on Saturday,” even though he knows it is true. Prudential norms of assertion override the epistemic KNA, for when multiple functions come into conflict, the ones that are more important to the survival of the organism will generate weightier normative constraints.Simion then applies her account to the general category of constatives—for example, speech acts that express a speaker’s belief and the intention that the hearer form or continue to hold the like belief. Employing the taxonomy of Bach and Harnish, she argues that, as expressions of belief and hence varieties of assertion, constatives are subject to knowledge norms as well. Bach and Harnish identify fifteen different subcategories of constatives, each characterized in terms of the kind of belief and intention they express. The norms governing a species have to be at least as strong as the norms governing the corresponding type. As species of the type assertion, each subcategory, then, is subject to at least the necessary direction of KNA. Ultimately, we arrive at a knowledge norm for every speech act on the list, such as The Knowledge Norm of Conjecture (KNC):One’s conjecture that p is epistemically permissible only if one knows that there is reason, but not sufficient reason, to believe that p. Most of the proposed interpretations of various constatives are on the whole reasonable enough, though J. L. Austin would surely be unhappy to see so many different speech acts fashioned into varieties of assertion. Simion concludes with reflections on conjecturing, telling, and moral assertion.Construing the challenge of shiftiness intuitions in terms of the Shiftiness Dilemma allows Simion to declare success when the compatibility of KNA and CI with the relevant data of intuition is secured. Ensuring empirical adequacy for an explanatory framework is an important step, but pronouncements of victory by way of inference to the best explanation would be premature.Other candidates have been shown to match KNA’s familiar explanatory successes (involving lottery propositions, Moorean statements, etc.). Unlike KNA, alternatives that require only epistemically justified or rational belief or credence can allow that a subject is epistemically proper to assert what they believe when their belief is epistemically rational, even under conditions where there are defeating reasons that they are not in a position to be aware of. Furthermore, such norms seem better suited for philosophical or heated moral discussions where there is little consensus and individuals routinely fail to know that what they assert is true. Simion sounds the alarm that the Shiftiness Dilemma threatens to generalize “to epistemic normativity as a whole” (xi–xii), but norms concerning rational credence seem particularly immune.As Simion notes, the etiological-function model of norms that she proposes could be rebuilt with a different central epistemic aim at its core. Indeed, Millikan-inspired models along these lines are appealed to in other areas in philosophy where the concept of information takes center stage—a concept that may be more amenable to rigorous definition and use in dialogue with the sciences than knowledge. We can wonder, also, what special weight the etiological-function model accords to a knowledge-first perspective on epistemic normativity when the model is malleable in this way.The effectiveness of Simion’s strategy for shielding epistemically good thinking and assertion from practical shiftiness becomes less apparent when we try to apply it to Keith’s belief or judgment that the knowledge ascription/denial he asserts is true. It is unclear whether we are to suppose that, in high stakes, Keith epistemically ought to believe/judge that his asserted knowledge denial is false, but all-things-considered he ought to believe/judge that it is true. We do not have to accept that the knowledge-first, etiological function account of normativity for assertion carries over to belief, of course, but then what progress have we made in accounting for the shiftiness in Keith’s judgment that he knows the bank is open on Saturday in low stakes but not in high stakes?Furthermore, there are other ways to generate problems for fallibilist Classical Invariantists in low versus high stakes pairs of cases. Here is a simplified version of a puzzle from the debate over pragmatic encroachment. Consider low cases where you meet the invariant standards for knowing that p, but your justified confidence falls short of certainty. Among these cases, there must be some where you also meet the invariant standards for knowing that if p is true, then among your choices of action ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome. Say, for instance, that you have a machine with a ϕ button, and your machine, which you know to be extremely reliable, tells you what the cost or benefit will be if you push the button and p is true versus if p is false. If you ϕ (push the ϕ button) and p is true, you win one hundred dollars; if you ϕ and p is false, you lose one hundred dollars. You face the choice: to ϕ or not to ϕ. Since you know that p, and you know that if p is true, then among your choices of action ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome, you rationally conclude that ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome, and hence that you ought to ϕ. If you know which choice of action has the best overall outcome, that is what you all-things-considered should do. Now consider high, where the quantity and quality of your evidence for p is the same, and you still know that your machine is extremely reliable. This time, however, the machine tells you that if you push ϕ and p is true, you win one hundred dollars, but if you push ϕ and p is false, you lose $1 million. Your rational confidence in p is not high enough to justify pushing the button, so you rationally conclude that you ought not to ϕ. Since in high nothing evidentially relevant has changed (all that has changed is the machine informing you of a new, more serious cost of acting on p if p is false), the classical invariantist will have to say that you still know that ϕ, and you still know that if p is true, then among your choices of action ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome. So, according to CI, you should still be able to reason properly as follows: you know that p, and you know that if p is true, then among your choices of action ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome, so you know that ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome, hence you ought to ϕ. Classical invariantists owe us an explanation concerning how we can avoid the paradox here without conceding that knowledge is practically shifty.","PeriodicalId":48129,"journal":{"name":"PHILOSOPHICAL REVIEW","volume":"58 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2023-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"PHILOSOPHICAL REVIEW","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1215/00318108-10469564","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"哲学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"0","JCRName":"PHILOSOPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3

Abstract

Crafted within a knowledge-first epistemological framework, Mona Simion’s engaging and wide-ranging work ensures that both the Knowledge Norm of Assertion (KNA) and Classical Invariantism (CI) can be part of a viable and productive research program.Dissatisfied with current strategies on offer in the literature, she successfully counters objections to the pair sourced in “shiftiness intuitions”—intuitions that seem to indicate that mere changes in practical context can impact the propriety of assertions and knowledge attributions. For example, in Keith DeRose’s famous pair of low stakes versus high stakes bank cases, the consequences of Keith’s acting on The bank is open on Saturday if it were false change from trivial in low stakes to catastrophic in high stakes. We are to suppose that the proposition is true, and that Keith has access to the same quantity and quality of evidence for it in both cases. In low stakes, but not in high stakes, we are inclined to think that Keith can appropriately assert to his inquiring wife “The bank is open on Saturday.” In low stakes, Keith’s knowledge ascription “I know that the bank is open on Saturday” strikes us as aptly asserted and true. In high stakes only a knowledge denial on Keith’s part strikes us as aptly asserted and true.If we want to hang on to KNA, it looks like we will have to abandon CI and concede that ‘knows’ or knowledge is sensitive to changes in practical considerations. If we want to retain CI, we can try to say that, while Keith does still know that the bank is open on Saturday in high stakes, he does not have sufficient warrant to properly assert that it is. But such a move seems to run counter to KNA. We appear to be stuck in the Shiftiness Dilemma.Keen to get us out of the dilemma and to preserve the idea that epistemically good thinking and asserting are independent of practical concerns, Simion suggests a strategy that can also be used to protect other epistemic speech-act norms and notions from similar threats of practical shiftiness. She notes that having an impact on the degree of epistemic warrant required is not enough to make a norm an epistemic one. Fair enough. If I am given strong practical reason (a million dollars, or a gun to the head) not to adopt full belief until I have gathered more evidence, there is potentially some nonepistemic norm at work in the demand for further evidence. So it is a live possibility (indeed, a plausible one, as Simion would say) that our intuitions in the Shiftiness Dilemma are being misdescribed: they are tracking all-things-considered propriety of assertion, not epistemic propriety. In high stakes, practical norms override the epistemic norm KNA. Keith’s asserting “The bank is open on Saturday” would be epistemically proper but all-things-considered improper.Simion backs up her account with an etiological-function origin story and typology for the norms of assertion. Here is her characterization of etiological function for traits, artifacts, and actions. E-function.A token of type T has the e-function of type B of producing effect E in a system S iff (1) tokens of T produced E in the past, (2) producing E resulted in benefit of type B in S/S’s ancestors, and (3) producing E’s having B-benefited S’s ancestors contributes to the explanation of why T exists in S.In this schema, norms governing an action are typed by the functions or purposes of the action, which in turn are typed by the benefits the action delivers. The epistemic norm of assertion will be the one that characteristically and reliably enables participants in the practice of assertion to secure its primary epistemic good, which Simion identifies as knowledge (testimonial knowledge in hearers generated under normal conditions by the assertions of knowledgeable speakers). Moves in a practice either directly or indirectly aim at fulfilling the goal of the practice. Assertion is a move in the practice of inquiry, which has the generation of knowledge as its aim. Hence, Simion concludes, assertion aims at generating knowledge.This account helps to explain why, in cases like high stakes, Keith all-things-considered ought not to assert “The bank is open on Saturday,” even though he knows it is true. Prudential norms of assertion override the epistemic KNA, for when multiple functions come into conflict, the ones that are more important to the survival of the organism will generate weightier normative constraints.Simion then applies her account to the general category of constatives—for example, speech acts that express a speaker’s belief and the intention that the hearer form or continue to hold the like belief. Employing the taxonomy of Bach and Harnish, she argues that, as expressions of belief and hence varieties of assertion, constatives are subject to knowledge norms as well. Bach and Harnish identify fifteen different subcategories of constatives, each characterized in terms of the kind of belief and intention they express. The norms governing a species have to be at least as strong as the norms governing the corresponding type. As species of the type assertion, each subcategory, then, is subject to at least the necessary direction of KNA. Ultimately, we arrive at a knowledge norm for every speech act on the list, such as The Knowledge Norm of Conjecture (KNC):One’s conjecture that p is epistemically permissible only if one knows that there is reason, but not sufficient reason, to believe that p. Most of the proposed interpretations of various constatives are on the whole reasonable enough, though J. L. Austin would surely be unhappy to see so many different speech acts fashioned into varieties of assertion. Simion concludes with reflections on conjecturing, telling, and moral assertion.Construing the challenge of shiftiness intuitions in terms of the Shiftiness Dilemma allows Simion to declare success when the compatibility of KNA and CI with the relevant data of intuition is secured. Ensuring empirical adequacy for an explanatory framework is an important step, but pronouncements of victory by way of inference to the best explanation would be premature.Other candidates have been shown to match KNA’s familiar explanatory successes (involving lottery propositions, Moorean statements, etc.). Unlike KNA, alternatives that require only epistemically justified or rational belief or credence can allow that a subject is epistemically proper to assert what they believe when their belief is epistemically rational, even under conditions where there are defeating reasons that they are not in a position to be aware of. Furthermore, such norms seem better suited for philosophical or heated moral discussions where there is little consensus and individuals routinely fail to know that what they assert is true. Simion sounds the alarm that the Shiftiness Dilemma threatens to generalize “to epistemic normativity as a whole” (xi–xii), but norms concerning rational credence seem particularly immune.As Simion notes, the etiological-function model of norms that she proposes could be rebuilt with a different central epistemic aim at its core. Indeed, Millikan-inspired models along these lines are appealed to in other areas in philosophy where the concept of information takes center stage—a concept that may be more amenable to rigorous definition and use in dialogue with the sciences than knowledge. We can wonder, also, what special weight the etiological-function model accords to a knowledge-first perspective on epistemic normativity when the model is malleable in this way.The effectiveness of Simion’s strategy for shielding epistemically good thinking and assertion from practical shiftiness becomes less apparent when we try to apply it to Keith’s belief or judgment that the knowledge ascription/denial he asserts is true. It is unclear whether we are to suppose that, in high stakes, Keith epistemically ought to believe/judge that his asserted knowledge denial is false, but all-things-considered he ought to believe/judge that it is true. We do not have to accept that the knowledge-first, etiological function account of normativity for assertion carries over to belief, of course, but then what progress have we made in accounting for the shiftiness in Keith’s judgment that he knows the bank is open on Saturday in low stakes but not in high stakes?Furthermore, there are other ways to generate problems for fallibilist Classical Invariantists in low versus high stakes pairs of cases. Here is a simplified version of a puzzle from the debate over pragmatic encroachment. Consider low cases where you meet the invariant standards for knowing that p, but your justified confidence falls short of certainty. Among these cases, there must be some where you also meet the invariant standards for knowing that if p is true, then among your choices of action ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome. Say, for instance, that you have a machine with a ϕ button, and your machine, which you know to be extremely reliable, tells you what the cost or benefit will be if you push the button and p is true versus if p is false. If you ϕ (push the ϕ button) and p is true, you win one hundred dollars; if you ϕ and p is false, you lose one hundred dollars. You face the choice: to ϕ or not to ϕ. Since you know that p, and you know that if p is true, then among your choices of action ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome, you rationally conclude that ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome, and hence that you ought to ϕ. If you know which choice of action has the best overall outcome, that is what you all-things-considered should do. Now consider high, where the quantity and quality of your evidence for p is the same, and you still know that your machine is extremely reliable. This time, however, the machine tells you that if you push ϕ and p is true, you win one hundred dollars, but if you push ϕ and p is false, you lose $1 million. Your rational confidence in p is not high enough to justify pushing the button, so you rationally conclude that you ought not to ϕ. Since in high nothing evidentially relevant has changed (all that has changed is the machine informing you of a new, more serious cost of acting on p if p is false), the classical invariantist will have to say that you still know that ϕ, and you still know that if p is true, then among your choices of action ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome. So, according to CI, you should still be able to reason properly as follows: you know that p, and you know that if p is true, then among your choices of action ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome, so you know that ϕ-ing results in the best overall outcome, hence you ought to ϕ. Classical invariantists owe us an explanation concerning how we can avoid the paradox here without conceding that knowledge is practically shifty.
诡谲言语与独立思维:语境中的认知规范性
在知识优先的认识论框架下,Mona Simion引人入胜且涉猎广泛的工作确保了断言的知识规范(KNA)和经典不变量(CI)都可以成为一个可行且富有成效的研究项目的一部分。她对文献中提供的当前策略不满意,成功地反驳了来自“变化直觉”的反对意见,这种直觉似乎表明,在实际环境中,仅仅是变化就会影响断言和知识归因的适当性。例如,在Keith DeRose著名的低风险与高风险银行案例中,如果是错误的,Keith对银行周六营业的行为的后果从低风险的微不足道变成了高风险的灾难性。我们假设命题为真,并且基思在两种情况下都能获得相同数量和质量的证据。在低风险情况下,而不是高风险情况下,我们倾向于认为基思可以恰当地对询问他的妻子说:“银行星期六开门。”在低风险的情况下,Keith的知识归属“我知道银行周六开门”给我们的印象是恰当的断言和真实的。在高风险的情况下,只有基思方面的知识否认给我们的印象是恰当的断言和真实的。如果我们想要坚持KNA,看起来我们将不得不放弃CI并承认“知道”或知识对实际考虑的变化是敏感的。如果我们想保留CI,我们可以试着说,虽然Keith仍然知道银行在周六以高赌注开放,但他没有足够的保证来正确断言它是开放的。但这样的举动似乎与朝鲜人民军背道而驰。我们似乎陷入了诡谲的困境。为了让我们摆脱困境,并保持认识论上的良好思考和断言独立于实践问题的观点,Simion提出了一种策略,该策略也可用于保护其他认识论上的言语行为规范和概念免受类似的实践变化的威胁。她指出,对所要求的认识论保证的程度产生影响并不足以使规范成为认识论规范。很好。如果有人给我强有力的实际理由(比如一百万美元,或者拿枪顶着我的头),让我在收集到更多证据之前不要完全相信,那么在需要进一步证据的过程中,可能会有一些非认知规范在起作用。因此,这是一个活生生的可能性(事实上,一个似是而非的可能性,正如西米恩会说的那样),我们在诡谲困境中的直觉被错误地描述了:它们追踪的是所有被认为是主张的适当性,而不是认知的适当性。在高风险情况下,实践规范凌驾于认知规范KNA之上。基思断言“银行周六开门”在认识论上是正确的,但在所有方面都被认为是不恰当的。Simion用病因功能起源故事和断言规范的类型学来支持她的叙述。以下是她对特征、人工制品和行为的病因功能的描述。E-function。令牌类型T的e-function B型生产效果E系统中的S敌我识别(1)令牌产生的T E过去,(2)生产E导致B型S / S的祖先,和(3)生产E B-benefited S的祖先有助于解释为什么T中存在着这种模式,一个行动准则函数或类型的操作的目的,进而类型的行动提供了好处。断言的认识论规范将是一个特征和可靠地使断言实践的参与者确保其主要认识论善的规范,Simion将其定义为知识(在正常条件下由知识渊博的说话者的断言产生的听者的证言性知识)。练习中的动作直接或间接地以实现练习的目标为目的。断言是探究实践中的一种行动,它以产生知识为目的。因此,西米恩得出结论,断言的目的是产生知识。这种说法有助于解释,为什么在高风险的情况下,考虑一切的基思不应该断言“银行周六开门”,即使他知道这是真的。审慎的断言规范凌驾于认识论的KNA之上,因为当多种功能发生冲突时,那些对生物体生存更重要的功能将产生更重的规范约束。然后,Simion将她的解释应用于一般的构成句——例如,表达说话者的信念和听者形成或继续持有类似信念的意图的言语行为。运用巴赫和哈尼什的分类学,她认为,作为信念的表达,因此是断言的变种,构成句也受制于知识规范。巴赫和哈尼什确定了15种不同的构成句子类别,每一种都以它们所表达的信念和意图的类型为特征。 管理一个物种的规范必须至少和管理相应类型的规范一样强。因此,作为类型断言的种类,每个子范畴至少服从于KNA的必要方向。最终,我们为列表上的每一个言语行为都得出了一个知识规范,比如推测的知识规范(KNC):一个人的推测是,只有当一个人知道有理由,但没有足够的理由,相信p时,p在认识论上是允许的。大多数对各种构成词的建议解释总体上是足够合理的,尽管j·l·奥斯汀肯定不高兴看到这么多不同的言语行为被塑造成各种断言。西米恩以对猜测、讲述和道德主张的反思作为结语。当KNA和CI与直觉相关数据的兼容性得到保证时,Simion就可以从移位困境的角度来解释移位直觉的挑战,从而宣告成功。确保解释框架的经验充分性是重要的一步,但通过对最佳解释的推断来宣告胜利还为时过早。其他候选人也被证明与KNA熟悉的解释成功相匹配(包括彩票命题,摩尔语句等)。与KNA不同的是,只需要认识论上的证明或理性的信仰或信任的替代方案可以允许一个主体在认识论上正确地主张他们所相信的东西,当他们的信仰是认识论上的理性的时候,即使在他们没有意识到的失败理由的情况下。此外,这些规范似乎更适合于哲学或激烈的道德讨论,因为在这些讨论中几乎没有共识,个人通常不知道他们所断言的是真的。Simion发出警告说,诡辩困境威胁到“作为一个整体的认知规范性”(xii - xii),但关于理性信任的规范似乎特别免疫。正如Simion所指出的,她提出的规范的病因-功能模型可以用一个不同的核心认知目标来重建。事实上,密立根启发下的这些模型在哲学的其他领域也很受欢迎,在这些领域中,信息的概念占据了中心位置——这个概念可能更适合于严格的定义,并在与科学的对话中使用,而不是知识。我们也想知道,当模型以这种方式具有延展性时,病因功能模型对知识优先的认知规范性观点具有什么样的特殊权重。当我们试图将Simion的策略应用于Keith的信念或判断时,即他所断言的知识归属/否认是正确的,那么Simion保护知识上好的思考和断言免受实践变化的策略的有效性就变得不那么明显了。目前还不清楚,我们是否应该假设,在高风险的情况下,基思在认识论上应该相信/判断他所宣称的知识否认是错误的,但考虑到所有的事情,他应该相信/判断这是正确的。当然,我们不必接受,知识优先的,对断言规范性的病因功能解释,也适用于信念,但是,我们在解释基思判断的变化方面取得了什么进展他知道银行周六开的是低风险的,而不是高风险的?此外,还有其他方法可以在低赌注对和高赌注对的情况下为易错古典不变量论者生成问题。下面是一个简化版的关于实用主义侵占的辩论难题。考虑一些较低的情况,即您满足知道p的不变标准,但您的合理置信度低于确定性。在这些情况中,一定有一些情况您也满足不变标准,即知道如果p为真,那么在您的行动选择中,<s:2> -ing会产生最佳的总体结果。比如说,你有一个带有ϕ按钮的机器,你知道这个机器非常可靠,它会告诉你如果你按下按钮,p为真和p为假的成本或收益是多少。如果你的ϕ(按下ϕ按钮)是真的,你赢得100美元;如果φ和p为假,你损失100美元。你面临的选择是:φ还是不φ。既然你知道p,并且你知道如果p为真,那么在你的行动选择中,你可以合理地推断出,在你的行动选择中,<s:2> -ing会产生最佳的结果,因此你应该φ。如果你知道哪一种行动会带来最好的结果,那就是你应该做的。现在考虑高值,p的证据的数量和质量是相同的,你仍然知道你的机器是非常可靠的。然而,这一次,机器告诉你,如果你推φ, p为真,你赢了100美元,但如果你推φ, p为假,你输了100万美元。
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来源期刊
PHILOSOPHICAL REVIEW
PHILOSOPHICAL REVIEW PHILOSOPHY-
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: In continuous publication since 1892, the Philosophical Review has a long-standing reputation for excellence and has published many papers now considered classics in the field, such as W. V. O. Quine"s “Two Dogmas of Empiricism,” Thomas Nagel"s “What Is It Like to Be a Bat?” and the early work of John Rawls. The journal aims to publish original scholarly work in all areas of analytic philosophy, with an emphasis on material of general interest to academic philosophers, and is one of the few journals in the discipline to publish book reviews.
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