Analysis of a fractional order climate model due to excessive emission and accumulation of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere

Q3 Mathematics
Peter Urane Achimugwu, Mathew Ngugi Kinyanjui, David Mumo Malonza
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Abstract

The devastating consequences of climate change on our planet cannot be taken lightly. Greenhouse gas emissions due to the various activities of the increasing human population are solely responsible for this change. The chief and most significant of these gases is carbon dioxide. A fractional-order model of five compartments is considered. The uniqueness and existence, the positivity, and the boundedness of the model solution are established. The equilibrium points of the model are given. By formulating different Lyapunov functions, the global stability of the four equilibrium points was determined. The numerical simulation of the model was done using the Predict-Evaluate-Correct-Evaluate method of Adam-Bashforth-Moulton by considering four different orders of 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, and 1.0. According to the results, excessive concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can be reduced by the joint employment of mitigation measures.
由于大气中二氧化碳的过度排放和积累造成的分数阶气候模式的分析
气候变化给地球带来的灾难性后果不容小觑。不断增长的人口的各种活动造成的温室气体排放是造成这一变化的唯一原因。这些气体中最主要和最重要的是二氧化碳。考虑了一种五室的分数阶模型。建立了模型解的唯一性、存在性、正性和有界性。给出了模型的平衡点。通过构造不同的Lyapunov函数,确定了四个平衡点的全局稳定性。采用Adam-Bashforth-Moulton的Predict-Evaluate-Correct-Evaluate方法,分别考虑0.7、0.8、0.9和1.0四个不同的阶数,对模型进行了数值模拟。根据研究结果,可以通过联合采取减缓措施来降低大气中过高的二氧化碳浓度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
2.00
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