Regions may share factors of production, too: Implementation of topologies within the World Trade Model

IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Naci Dilekli, Ignacio Cazcarro, Julio Sánchez-Chóliz
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A series of numerical examples illustrating a range of sharing scenarios is demonstrated to facilitate an examination of this extension's features. Finally, we discuss the most interesting cases in which this topology can be used, as well as the additional challenges or implementations that can be derived from this work.KEYWORDS: World Trade ModelFactors of production sharingInput – outputInternational tradeGlobalizationJEL: Codes: C67D57F1F2F6R15 AcknowledgementsThe authors greatly thank the interesting comments and suggestions made by the reviewers and Editors, which in our view notably helped improving the article. Their research is also possible thanks to the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities, through PID2019-106822RB-I00 and PID2022- 140010OB-I00; and the Government of Aragon through S40_20R and S40_23R (CREDENAT) group financing.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 It emphasizes that in a pure ‘Ricardian' understanding, instead of having a single row of factor uses of a type, technologies (e.g., with different qualities of land) do not compete for being chosen over others. Instead, the best technologies are utilized first until they deplete the resources, followed by other technologies. This leads to two different possibilities of defining factors in which different qualities compete among technologies (defined as a vector) or not (defined as a diagonalized vector) in the WTM.2 Beginning with articles by (Jones, Citation1971; Samuelson, Citation1971a, Citation1971b), a number of writers have returned to an older tradition, traceable in the works of Marshall, Ohlin himself, and Harrod, which assumes that, in the short run at least, capital goods are sector-specific. In the light of this tradition, the Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson model is seen as describing positions of long-run equilibrium only (Neary, Citation1978). This last cited work deals with cases in which the assumption of sector-specific capital leads to more intuitively plausible results than the assumption of intersectoral capital mobility. Also, we can argue that the expansion capacity of an economy cannot grow immediately, but it cannot be denied that financial capital may freely flow depending on financial regulations. Today capital flows much faster, although with some limits in a year (for example, foreign capital investment does not occur with a quick decision), via financial credit, shares of businesses, etc. An obvious example of this is the movement of capital across countries and into developing markets, which created political and structural risks in regions losing their capital. In order to model realistically, it is imperative to provide some endowments for capital for the regions while simultaneously allowing for sharing of capital among the regions, rather than having to choose for relatively arbitrarily large numbers of ‘slack' for the endowments to account for possible inflows in each region.3 Calculating the unemployment rate in Spain and several other countries during the years of economic slowdown, or \"crisis,\" was also \"tricky\" because many long-term unemployed – typically the elderly – were no longer looking for work, and similarly, many young people extended their student lives due to a pessimistic economic outlook, reducing the productive population while increasing the inactive.4 Ultimately the question is whether at least 100% of fvi must be usable in some region. If this is not allowed, it is de facto a reduction of the available endowment fvi. We note, however, that this may create challenges when ‘isolated' regions exist (not involved in the factor sharing), so one suggestion could be to better tend to work with Mi,j,v=1for i=j, properly defining the endowments fi=(fvi) first, in accordance with the nature of the scenarios that are studied (as it typically has been done in WTM/RCOT studies). This relates to Note 7 on the cases of disjoint subsets of regions requiring additional constraints.5 With this, we are recognizing the possibility of disjoint subsets of regions which require factor (i.e. ‘mass') conservation conditions for each block of regions. An example is a four-region case like the following: [10.250000.50.5000.5100000.75]In this case, addition to Equations 14 and 15, it would be reasonable to require: F1x1+F2x2+F3x3≤f1+f2+f3.6 A benefit-of-trade rent may be required to induce some regions to export, even though their production for exports is beneficial for the world as a whole. With the emergence of both kinds of rents, prices of goods will rise to values that may exceed no-trade prices, at least the no-trade prices of the producing regions (see Duchin, Citation2005).7 In the case of WTM, this idea for a future study was originally suggested by Dilekli et al. 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引用次数: 0

Abstract

ABSTRACTThe World Trade Model (WTM), which incorporates input - output data and minimizes global factor costs subject to satisfying demands while being constrained by each region's factor endowments, is one of models based on the principle of comparative advantage. These factor endowments are not necessarily fixed in each region as traditionally posed in most theories, but rather can or de facto be shared across regions. We highlight the importance of this feature for economic modeling, and then introduce an extension for the integration of topological rules into WTM to facilitate the sharing of factors with directionality (one-way or two-way) across regions. A series of numerical examples illustrating a range of sharing scenarios is demonstrated to facilitate an examination of this extension's features. Finally, we discuss the most interesting cases in which this topology can be used, as well as the additional challenges or implementations that can be derived from this work.KEYWORDS: World Trade ModelFactors of production sharingInput – outputInternational tradeGlobalizationJEL: Codes: C67D57F1F2F6R15 AcknowledgementsThe authors greatly thank the interesting comments and suggestions made by the reviewers and Editors, which in our view notably helped improving the article. Their research is also possible thanks to the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities, through PID2019-106822RB-I00 and PID2022- 140010OB-I00; and the Government of Aragon through S40_20R and S40_23R (CREDENAT) group financing.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 It emphasizes that in a pure ‘Ricardian' understanding, instead of having a single row of factor uses of a type, technologies (e.g., with different qualities of land) do not compete for being chosen over others. Instead, the best technologies are utilized first until they deplete the resources, followed by other technologies. This leads to two different possibilities of defining factors in which different qualities compete among technologies (defined as a vector) or not (defined as a diagonalized vector) in the WTM.2 Beginning with articles by (Jones, Citation1971; Samuelson, Citation1971a, Citation1971b), a number of writers have returned to an older tradition, traceable in the works of Marshall, Ohlin himself, and Harrod, which assumes that, in the short run at least, capital goods are sector-specific. In the light of this tradition, the Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson model is seen as describing positions of long-run equilibrium only (Neary, Citation1978). This last cited work deals with cases in which the assumption of sector-specific capital leads to more intuitively plausible results than the assumption of intersectoral capital mobility. Also, we can argue that the expansion capacity of an economy cannot grow immediately, but it cannot be denied that financial capital may freely flow depending on financial regulations. Today capital flows much faster, although with some limits in a year (for example, foreign capital investment does not occur with a quick decision), via financial credit, shares of businesses, etc. An obvious example of this is the movement of capital across countries and into developing markets, which created political and structural risks in regions losing their capital. In order to model realistically, it is imperative to provide some endowments for capital for the regions while simultaneously allowing for sharing of capital among the regions, rather than having to choose for relatively arbitrarily large numbers of ‘slack' for the endowments to account for possible inflows in each region.3 Calculating the unemployment rate in Spain and several other countries during the years of economic slowdown, or "crisis," was also "tricky" because many long-term unemployed – typically the elderly – were no longer looking for work, and similarly, many young people extended their student lives due to a pessimistic economic outlook, reducing the productive population while increasing the inactive.4 Ultimately the question is whether at least 100% of fvi must be usable in some region. If this is not allowed, it is de facto a reduction of the available endowment fvi. We note, however, that this may create challenges when ‘isolated' regions exist (not involved in the factor sharing), so one suggestion could be to better tend to work with Mi,j,v=1for i=j, properly defining the endowments fi=(fvi) first, in accordance with the nature of the scenarios that are studied (as it typically has been done in WTM/RCOT studies). This relates to Note 7 on the cases of disjoint subsets of regions requiring additional constraints.5 With this, we are recognizing the possibility of disjoint subsets of regions which require factor (i.e. ‘mass') conservation conditions for each block of regions. An example is a four-region case like the following: [10.250000.50.5000.5100000.75]In this case, addition to Equations 14 and 15, it would be reasonable to require: F1x1+F2x2+F3x3≤f1+f2+f3.6 A benefit-of-trade rent may be required to induce some regions to export, even though their production for exports is beneficial for the world as a whole. With the emergence of both kinds of rents, prices of goods will rise to values that may exceed no-trade prices, at least the no-trade prices of the producing regions (see Duchin, Citation2005).7 In the case of WTM, this idea for a future study was originally suggested by Dilekli et al. (Citation2018), where low-cost producing regions of electricity would run out of water due to their intensive water use (via the once-through cooling technology).8 For example, shared endowments can be introduced for "employment availability', allowing partial or full sharing to represent partial or full free movement of people, e.g. among different explicitly represented regions within a country, or among countries (e.g. Liechtenstein-Germany, or Belgium-The Netherlands; US-Canada, etc.).Additional informationFundingThis work was supported by Gobierno de Aragón (S40_20R and S40_23R for the CREDENAT group) and Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (grant numbers PID2019-106822RB-I00 and PID2022- 140010OB-I00).
各地区也可以共享生产要素:世界贸易模型中拓扑结构的实现
摘要世界贸易模型(World Trade Model, WTM)是一种基于比较优势原理的模型,它将投入产出数据纳入其中,在满足需求的前提下,在各地区要素禀赋的约束下使全球要素成本最小化。这些要素禀赋不一定像大多数理论传统上提出的那样,在每个地区都是固定的,而是可以或事实上在各个地区共享。我们强调了这一特征对经济建模的重要性,然后引入了将拓扑规则集成到WTM中的扩展,以促进跨区域具有方向性(单向或双向)的因素共享。一系列数值示例说明了一系列共享场景,以方便检查此扩展的功能。最后,我们讨论了可以使用这种拓扑的最有趣的情况,以及可以从这项工作中派生出来的其他挑战或实现。关键词:世界贸易模型生产要素共享投入产出国际贸易全球化jel:代码:C67D57F1F2F6R15致谢感谢审稿人和编辑提出的有趣的意见和建议,我们认为这些意见和建议对本文的改进有很大的帮助。他们的研究也得益于西班牙科学,创新和大学部,通过PID2019-106822RB-I00和PID2022- 140010OB-I00;而阿拉贡政府则通过S40_20R和S40_23R (CREDENAT)集团融资。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。注1:它强调,在纯粹的“李嘉图”理解中,技术(例如,具有不同质量的土地)并不会因为被选择而相互竞争,而不是有一种类型的单一因素使用。相反,最好的技术首先被利用,直到它们耗尽资源,然后是其他技术。这导致了两种不同的定义因素的可能性,在wtm中,不同的质量在技术之间竞争(定义为矢量)或不(定义为对角化矢量)。萨缪尔森,Citation1971a, Citation1971b),许多作家已经回归到一个更古老的传统,可以追溯到马歇尔,奥林本人和哈罗德的作品,该传统假设,至少在短期内,资本货物是特定于部门的。根据这一传统,Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson模型被视为仅描述长期均衡的位置(Neary, Citation1978)。这最后引用的工作处理的情况下,部门特定资本的假设导致比部门间资本流动性的假设更直观可信的结果。同样,我们可以说,一个经济体的扩张能力不可能立即增长,但不能否认,金融资本可以根据金融监管自由流动。如今,资本通过金融信贷、企业股份等方式流动得快得多,尽管在一年内有一些限制(例如,外国资本投资不会迅速做出决定)。一个明显的例子是资本在各国之间流动并流入发展中市场,这在失去资本的地区造成了政治和结构性风险。为了更现实地建模,必须为地区提供一些资本禀赋,同时允许资本在地区之间共享,而不是必须选择相对任意的大量“闲置”禀赋来解释每个地区可能的流入在经济放缓或“危机”期间,计算西班牙和其他几个国家的失业率也很“棘手”,因为许多长期失业者——通常是老年人——不再找工作,同样,由于经济前景悲观,许多年轻人延长了他们的学生生活,减少了有生产力的人口,同时增加了不活跃的人口最终的问题是,在某些地区是否必须至少100%的fvi可用。如果这是不允许的,它实际上是减少了现有的捐赠。然而,我们注意到,当“孤立”区域存在(不涉及因子共享)时,这可能会带来挑战,因此一个建议可能是更好地倾向于使用Mi,j,v=1来处理i=j,首先根据所研究情景的性质适当地定义禀赋fi=(fvi)(正如它通常在WTM/RCOT研究中所做的那样)。这与注7有关需要额外约束的不相交区域子集的情况有关有了这个,我们认识到区域不相交子集的可能性,这需要每个区域块的因素(即“质量”)守恒条件。四个区域的情况如下所示:[10.250000.50.5000.5100000]。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
4.00%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: Economic Systems Research is a double blind peer-reviewed scientific journal dedicated to the furtherance of theoretical and factual knowledge about economic systems, structures and processes, and their change through time and space, at the subnational, national and international level. The journal contains sensible, matter-of-fact tools and data for modelling, policy analysis, planning and decision making in large economic environments. It promotes understanding in economic thinking and between theoretical schools of East and West, North and South.
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