Objective Prior Distributions to Estimate the Parameters of the Poisson-Exponential Distribution

Q3 Mathematics
Fernando A. Moala, Gustavo Moraes
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this paper, a set of important objective priors are examined for the Bayesian estimation of the parameters present in the Poisson-Exponential distribution PE. We derived the multivariate Jeffreys prior and the Maximal Data Information Prior. Reference prior and others priors proposed in the literature are also analyzed. We show that the posterior densities resulting from these approaches are proper although the respective priors are improper. Monte Carlo simulations are used to compare the efficiencies and to assess the sensitivity of the choice of the priors, mainly for small sample sizes. This simulation study shows that the mean square error, mean bias and coverage probability of credible intervals under Gamma, Jeffreys' rule and Box & Tiao priors presented equal results, whereas Jeffreys and Reference priors showed the best results. The MDIP prior had a worse performance in all analyzed situations showing not to be indicated for Bayesian analysis of the PE distribution. A real data set is analyzed for illustrative purpose of the Bayesian approaches.
目的用先验分布估计泊松指数分布的参数
本文研究了泊松-指数分布PE中参数的贝叶斯估计的一组重要的客观先验。我们推导了多元Jeffreys先验和最大数据信息先验。并对文献中提出的参考先验和其他先验进行了分析。我们表明,虽然各自的先验是不适当的,但这些方法产生的后验密度是适当的。蒙特卡罗模拟用于比较效率和评估选择先验的敏感性,主要用于小样本量。仿真研究表明,在Gamma规则、Jeffreys规则和Box &Tiao先验的结果相同,而Jeffreys和Reference先验的结果最好。先前的MDIP在所有分析的情况下都有较差的表现,显示不适合PE分布的贝叶斯分析。为了说明贝叶斯方法的目的,分析了一个真实的数据集。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Revista Colombiana De Estadistica
Revista Colombiana De Estadistica STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Colombian Journal of Statistics publishes original articles of theoretical, methodological and educational kind in any branch of Statistics. Purely theoretical papers should include illustration of the techniques presented with real data or at least simulation experiments in order to verify the usefulness of the contents presented. Informative articles of high quality methodologies or statistical techniques applied in different fields of knowledge are also considered. Only articles in English language are considered for publication. The Editorial Committee assumes that the works submitted for evaluation have not been previously published and are not being given simultaneously for publication elsewhere, and will not be without prior consent of the Committee, unless, as a result of the assessment, decides not publish in the journal. It is further assumed that when the authors deliver a document for publication in the Colombian Journal of Statistics, they know the above conditions and agree with them.
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