Development and the Dispute Settlement Body of the World Trade Organization: a survival analysis

Samuel Rufino de Carvalho, Andréa Freire de Lucena
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Abstract

Abstract This paper analyses whether the level of development affects a state’s participation in the Dispute Settlement Body (DSB) of the World Trade Organization (WTO). The methodology relies on the Survival Analysis with two different tools. First, the Kaplan-Meier Curve, which indicates the survival time of an individual until the occurrence of an event, was plotted. Thereafter, the Cox Regression was used. This tool associates Survival Analysis to linear regression in order to examine the impacts of some independent variables on the time until the occurrence of the observed events. The results showed that states with higher levels of GDP and HDI, and with a larger population, have more chances of initiating a dispute and being a respondent. Likewise, the American and the European continents are more likely to experience these events. Developed and Developing countries experience the incidence of an event more easily when compared to Least Developed Countries.
发展与世界贸易组织争端解决机构:生存分析
摘要本文分析了发展水平对一国参与世界贸易组织争端解决机构的影响。该方法依赖于生存分析和两种不同的工具。首先,绘制Kaplan-Meier曲线,它表示个体在事件发生之前的生存时间。随后,采用Cox回归分析。该工具将生存分析与线性回归相结合,以检查一些自变量对观察事件发生前时间的影响。结果表明,国内生产总值和人类发展指数水平较高、人口较多的州,有更多的机会发起争议并成为被调查者。同样,美洲和欧洲大陆更有可能经历这些事件。与最不发达国家相比,发达国家和发展中国家更容易经历事件的发生。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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