THE MAIN RISKS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE NATIONAL ECONOMY AS A PROBLEM OF ENSURING THE ECONOMIC SECURITY OF THE COUNTRY

Alexey V. Tebekin, Anatoly B. Yaroshchuk
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Abstract

The relevance of the presented study is due to the fact that in the context of the ongoing global world economic crisis, burdened for the national economy by a complex of anti-Russian sanctions of the West, it is necessary to pay increased attention to the risks of socio-economic development in the foreseeable future, in the interests of ensuring the economic security of the Russian Federation. The purpose of the presented studies is to analyze and summarize the main risks of the development of the national economy, in order to form a comprehensive understanding of the risks of the development of the Russian economy in the near, medium and long term. The scientific novelty of the results obtained lies in identifying the totality of the main risks of the development of the national economy that affect the economic security of the Russian Federation, including: the risk of recession in developed countries, reflecting the processes of slowing down the global economy; the risk of tightening the current sanctions regime; risk of shortage of personnel; risk due to weak external demand for domestic products; the risk associated with obstacles to the growth of the level of freedom for business development; the risk caused by the stake on international cooperation, which weakens the level of intensity of the problems of technological sovereignty; the risk of problems in the development of logistics in the interests of foreign economic activity; the risk caused by the illusory prospects for achieving equality of income and opportunity in society; the risk of inconsistency between the goals set and the available opportunities; the risk of product supply lagging behind existing demand; the risk of slowing down the processes of development of the national economy by the financial and economic control unit; the risk caused by the lack of an anti-crisis plan, which, in the conditions of fragmentation of the world economy, entailing a domino effect in the development processes of different countries, localize the impact of the crisis on the country, overcome it as soon as possible and emerge with competitive advantages; the risk of a “credit bubble”; the risk of further devaluation of the national currency; risk caused by a problem in the implementation of the distributive and redistributive functions of the state, especially in the implementation of economic and social functions. The practical significance of the results obtained lies in the possibility of using them to develop measures to ensure the economic security of the Russian Federation.
将国民经济发展的主要风险视为保障国家经济安全的问题
本研究的相关性是由于这样一个事实,即在目前的全球世界经济危机的背景下,西方反俄制裁的复杂负担给国民经济带来了负担,为了确保俄罗斯联邦的经济安全,有必要在可预见的未来更加关注社会经济发展的风险。本研究的目的是分析和总结国民经济发展的主要风险,以形成对俄罗斯经济近、中、长期发展风险的全面认识。所获得结果的科学新颖性在于确定了影响俄罗斯联邦经济安全的国民经济发展的主要风险的总体,包括:发达国家经济衰退的风险,反映了全球经济放缓的进程;收紧当前制裁制度的风险;人员短缺的风险;国内产品外需疲软带来的风险;与阻碍企业发展自由水平增长相关的风险;利害关系对国际合作带来的风险,削弱了技术主权问题的强度;为对外经济活动利益发展物流的风险问题;实现社会收入和机会平等的虚幻前景所造成的风险;既定目标与现有机会不一致的风险;产品供应滞后于现有需求的风险;财经管理单位减缓国民经济发展进程的风险;在世界经济碎片化的条件下,由于缺乏应对危机的计划而导致的风险,在不同国家的发展过程中产生多米诺骨牌效应,使危机对本国的影响本地化,尽快克服危机,并以竞争优势出现;“信贷泡沫”的风险;本国货币进一步贬值的风险;在国家分配和再分配职能的执行中,特别是在经济和社会职能的执行中出现问题而引起的风险。所取得的成果的实际意义在于有可能利用这些成果来制定确保俄罗斯联邦经济安全的措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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