Evaluating associations between late intensive care admission and mortality, intensive care days, and organ dysfunctions: a secondary analysis of data from the EPOCH cluster randomized trial

Ari R. Joffe, Karen Dryden-Palmer, Leah Shadkowski, Helena Frndova, Vinay Nadkarni, George Tomlinson, Christopher Parshuram
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Abstract

Abstract Purpose To determine whether late admission to pediatric intensive care (ICU) from hospital wards is associated with patient outcomes. Methods Secondary analysis of prospectively collected data from an international multicenter cluster-randomized trial. Clinical deterioration events with urgent ICU admission were defined as late if the Children’s Resuscitation Intensity Scale was > 2 (indicating critical care interventions started from 12 h pre- to 1 h post-urgent ICU admission). The association of late admission with primary outcomes (ICU and hospital mortality) was estimated using logistically generalized estimating equation models adjusted for PIM2 probability of death. Results There were 2979 clinical deterioration events in 2502 patients, including 620 (20.8%) late ICU admissions. ICU mortality of the last urgent ICU admission was 15.4% for late compared to 4.5% for non-late ICU admission (PIM-adjusted OR (95%CI) 1.63 (1.14, 2.33), p < 0.01). Hospital mortality was 19.7% in late compared to 6.0% for non-late urgent ICU admission (PIM-adjusted OR 1.56 (1.12, 2.16), p < 0.01). Late ICU admissions accounted for 20.9% of clinical deterioration events, and 90/179 (50.2.0%) of ICU and 103/222 (46.4%) of hospital deaths after clinical deterioration events. Secondary outcomes associated with late ICU admission included longer ICU stay (2.3 days, p = 0.02), more ventilation days (407/1000 ICU days, p < 0.0001), and more frequent treatment with dialysis, inhaled nitric oxide, and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation ( p < 0.01). Conclusion Late ICU admission from hospital wards was associated with higher ICU and hospital mortality, greater use of ICU technologies, and longer ICU stays. How to prevent late ICU admission and its consequences requires further study.
评估重症监护晚期入院与死亡率、重症监护天数和器官功能障碍之间的关系:EPOCH随机试验数据的二次分析
目的探讨小儿重症监护(ICU)住院时间晚是否与患者预后相关。方法对一项国际多中心集群随机试验的前瞻性数据进行二次分析。如果儿童复苏强度量表为>2(表示重症监护干预从急诊ICU入院前12小时至入院后1小时开始)。使用经PIM2死亡概率调整的logistic广义估计方程模型估计延迟入院与主要结局(ICU和住院死亡率)的关联。结果2502例患者发生2979例临床恶化事件,其中晚期入ICU患者620例(20.8%)。最后一次紧急ICU入院的死亡率,晚期为15.4%,非晚期为4.5% (pim校正OR (95%CI) 1.63 (1.14, 2.33), p <0.01)。晚期住院死亡率为19.7%,非晚期急诊ICU住院死亡率为6.0%(经pim调整OR为1.56 (1.12,2.16),p <0.01)。晚期ICU入院占临床恶化事件的20.9%,临床恶化事件后ICU死亡占90/179(50.2.0%),住院死亡占103/222(46.4%)。与ICU晚期入院相关的次要结局包括ICU住院时间较长(2.3天,p = 0.02),通气天数较多(407/1000 ICU天,p <0.0001),并且更频繁地进行透析、吸入一氧化氮和体外膜氧合治疗(p <0.01)。结论ICU晚期住院患者的ICU死亡率和住院死亡率较高,ICU技术的使用较多,ICU住院时间较长。如何预防ICU晚期入院及其后果有待进一步研究。
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