Air pollution in Bamako: Modeling, Pollution-Population Index

Yacouba Maiga, Bankoro Bagayoko, Hady Diallo, Boubacar Kola Touré, Sékou Sako, Ousmane Coulibaly, Ibrahima Yattara, Mohamed Maiga
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Abstract

This study on air pollution in Bamako carried out in 2019, aims to characterize the different sources of emissions, model the health impact of ambient air quality for the different scenarios, the proposal of an action plan to limit emissions, and the simulation of the evolution of emissions and ambient air quality by 2015 and 2020 with and without an action plan. The results of the two air quality measurement campaigns show concentration levels lower or substantially equal between those of July 2019 and those of the 2009 data. The PM10 concentration recorded indicates a significant excess area compared to the values concentration guides set by the WHO. Analysis of the evaluation of emissions and their health impact by 2015 and 2020 shows that pollution by volatile organic compounds and dust will become unacceptable if nothing is done. The number of cancers linked to benzene will increase to 686 cases and the increase in mortality due to dust to an average figure of 38.7%.
巴马科的空气污染:建模,污染-人口指数
这项针对巴马科空气污染的研究于2019年开展,旨在描述不同排放源的特征,模拟不同情景下环境空气质量对健康的影响,提出限制排放的行动计划,并模拟到2015年和2020年在有无行动计划的情况下排放和环境空气质量的演变。两次空气质量测量活动的结果显示,2019年7月的浓度水平与2009年的数据相比更低或基本相等。与世界卫生组织设定的浓度指南值相比,记录的PM10浓度显示出明显超标的区域。到2015年和2020年对排放及其健康影响的评估分析表明,如果不采取任何措施,挥发性有机化合物和粉尘的污染将变得不可接受。与苯有关的癌症病例将增加到686例,因粉尘造成的死亡率平均增加到38.7%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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