{"title":"The relationship between government spending and poverty alleviation in emerging markets: empirical evidence from Vietnam","authors":"Vu Xuan Dung, Duong Thuy Le","doi":"10.1080/00927678.2023.2262355","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"AbstractThis paper uses a fixed effects model and a fixed effects quantile regression to explore the relationship between government spending and poverty reduction in the 63 provinces of Vietnam from 2010 to 2020. Our study argues and finds that government spending plays a significant role in reducing the poverty rate in Vietnam. Furthermore, the paper shows that income per capita is a good proxy for the poverty rate. Given the influential role of government spending in reducing impoverishment, the study also finds that income inequality is a challenge to the Vietnamese government. It contributes to the literature on public finance in Vietnam and emerging markets. Additionally, it has policy implications for policymakers in these economies regarding addressing poverty alleviation and income inequality.Keywords: Government spendingpoverty reductionincome per capita Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 B. Westmore, “Do Government Transfers Reduce Poverty in China? Micro Evidence from Five Regions,” China Economic Review 51 (2018): 59–69.2 T. Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence,” Canadian Journal of Development Studies 27, no. 3 (2006): 267–85.3 L. Yanyan, B. B. Christopher, P. Trinh, and V. William, “The Intertemporal Evolution of Agriculture and Labor over a Rapid Structural Transformation: Lessons from Vietnam,” Food Policy 94, no. 101913 (2020), 94.4 W. Easterly and S. Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 33, no. 2 (2001): 160–78.5 Yanyan et al., “The Intertemporal Evolution of Agriculture and Labor over a Rapid Structural Transformation: Lessons from Vietnam.”6 R. C. Rosaria and L. U. M. Giorgio, “Structural Public Balance Adjustment and Poverty in Europe,” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 50 (2019): 227–36.7 Easterly and Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor.”8 Liu, W., Li, J., & Zhao, R. Rural public expenditure and poverty alleviation in China: A spatial econometric analysis. Journal of Agricultural Science 12 no. 6 (2020): 46.9 Easterly and Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor.”10 Ibid.11 Yanyan et al., “The Intertemporal Evolution of Agriculture and Labor over a Rapid Structural Transformation: Lessons from Vietnam.”12 H. Chính, Dành 21% ngân sách cho phúc lợi xã hội (Hà Nội: Government News, 2021).13 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”14 D. Van de Walle, “Population Growth and Poverty: Another Look at the Indian Time Series Data,” The Journal of Development Studies 21, no. 3 (1985): 429–439.15 V. N. Misra and H. B. R. Peter, “Terms of Trade, Rural Poverty, Technology and Investment: The Indian Experience, 1952-53 to 1990-91,” Economic and Political Weekly 31, no. 13 (1996): A2–A13.16 F. Shenggen, H. Peter, and T. Sukhadeo, “Government Spending, Growth and Poverty in Rural India,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 82, no. 4 (2000): 1038–51.17 Easterly and Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor.”18 G. Raghav and I. Katsushi, “Rural Public Works and Poverty Alleviation - The Case of the Employment Guarantee Scheme in Maharashtra,” International Review of Applied Economics 16, no. 2 (2002): 131–51.19 M. Sanjukta and B. Todd, “The Determinants of Poverty in Malawi, 1998,” World Development 31, no. 2 (2003): 339–58.20 I. S. Katsushi, G. Raghav, and K. Woojin, “Poverty, Inequality and Ethnic Minorities in Vietnam,” International Review of Applied Economics 25, no. 3 (2011): 249–82.21 U. R. Wagle, “The Economic Footing of the Global Poor, 1980–2005: The Roles of Economic Growth, Openness and Political Institutions,” Journal of International Development, 24, no. S1 (2012): S173–97.22 B.-O. M. O. Mohsen, “Poverty Reduction and Aid: Cross-country Evidence,” International Journal of Sociology and Social Policy 29, no. 5/6 (2019): 264–73.23 Rosaria and Giorgio, “Structural Public Balance Adjustment and Poverty in Europe.”24 L. R. Yu and X. Y. Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China,” Journal of Integrative Agriculture 20, no. 4 (2021): 1060–67.25 Rosaria and Giorgio, “Structural Public Balance Adjustment and Poverty in Europe.”26 Shenggen, Peter, and Sukhadeo, “Government Spending, Growth and Poverty in Rural India.”27 Westmore, “Do Government Transfers Reduce Poverty in China? Micro Evidence from Five Regions.”28 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”29 Yu and Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China.”30 Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence.”31 Wagle, “The Economic Footing of the Global Poor, 1980–2005: The Roles of Economic Growth, Openness and Political Institutions.”32 E. Anderson, M. A. J. d’Orey, D. Maren, and E. Lucio, “Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis,” World Development 103 (2018): 60–71.33 Easterly and Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor.”34 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”35 Anderson et al., “Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis.”36 Van de Walle, “Population Growth and Poverty: Another Look at the Indian Time Series Data.”37 Mohsen, “Poverty Reduction and Aid: Cross-country Evidence.”38 Yanyan et al., “The Intertemporal Evolution of Agriculture and Labor over a Rapid Structural Transformation: Lessons from Vietnam.”39 Westmore, “Do Government Transfers Reduce Poverty in China? Micro Evidence from Five Regions.”40 Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence.”41 Ibid.42 F. Shenggen, L. P. Huong, and Q. T. Long, Government Spending and Poverty Reduction in Vietnam (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2004).43 Vietnamese General Statistics Office.44 C. V. Nguyen, T. Q. Tran, and H. V. Van, “Ethnic Minorities in Northern Mountains of Vietnam: Employment, Poverty, and Income,” Social Indicators Research 134, no. 1 (2017): 93–115.45 L. Q. Hoi and C. M. Hoi, “Financial Sector Development and Income Inequality in Vietnam: Evidence at the Provincial Level,” Journal of Southeast Asian Economies 30, no. 3 (2013): 263–77.46 Shenggen, Huong, and Long, Government Spending and Poverty Reduction in Vietnam.47 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”48 Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence.”49 Raghav and Katsushi, “Rural Public Works and Poverty Alleviation - The Case of the Employment Guarantee Scheme in Maharashtra.”50 Shenggen, Huong, and Long, Government Spending and Poverty Reduction in Vietnam.51 Ibid.52 Shenggen, Peter, and Sukhadeo, “Government Spending, Growth and Poverty in Rural India.”53 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”54 Yu and Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China.”55 Sanjukta and Todd, “The Determinants of Poverty in Malawi, 1998.”56 Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence.”57 Katsushi, Raghav, and Woojin, “Poverty, Inequality and Ethnic Minorities in Vietnam.”58 Van de Walle, “Population Growth and Poverty: Another Look at the Indian Time Series Data.”59 O. D. Vietnam, Open Development Vietnam, 2021, https://vietnam.opendevelopmentmekong.net/vi/topics/poverty-policy-and-regulation/ (accessed August 11, 2022).60 D. Mạnh, Đẩy mạnh ứng dụng khoa học, công nghệ để thoát nghèo bền vững (Hanoi: Ministry of Information and Communications, 2023).61 Vietnam, Open Development Vietnam.62 T. Trang, Khoa học và công nghệ góp phần tăng cường nguồn lực, phát triển sản xuất, xóa đói giảm nghèo (Binh Duong: Binh Duong Department of Science and Technology, 2020).63 The World Bank, World Development Indicators (The World Bank).64 Vietnamese General Statistics Office.65 Misra and Peter, “Terms of Trade, Rural Poverty, Technology and Investment: The Indian Experience, 1952-53 to 1990-91.”66 Raghav and Katsushi, “Rural Public Works and Poverty Alleviation - The Case of the Employment Guarantee Scheme in Maharashtra.”67 R. Koenker and G. J. Bassett, “Regression Quantiles,” Econometrica 46, no. 1 (1978): 33–50.68 P. Jordi, F. Erik, and S. Juan, “Quantile Regression for the FDI Gravity Equation,” Journal of Business Research 68 (2015): 1512–18.69 World Bank, Báo cáo đánh giá nghèo Việt Nam 2012 (Vietnam Poverty Assessment Report) (Hanoi: Vietnam World Bank, 2012).70 UNDP, Báo cáo đánh giá nghèo đa chiều Việt Nam (Viet Nam Multidimensional Poverty Report) (Hanoi: United Nations Development Programme, 2012–2016).71 T. Robert, H. Ann, and M. Justine, “Urban and Rural Estimates of Poverty: Recent Advances in Spatial Microsimulation in Australia,” Geographical Research, 48, no. 1 (2010): 52–64.72 C. Hensley, P. C. Heaton, R. S. Kahn, H. R. Luder, S. M. Frede, A. F. Beck. “Poverty, Transportation Access, and Medication Nonadherence,” Pediatrics 141, no. 4 (2018): e20173402. doi: 10.1542/peds.2017-3402.73 Hoi, Le Quoc; Hoi, Chu Minh. Journal of Southeast Asian Economies; Singapore Vol. 30, Iss. 3, (Dec 2013): 263–277.74 D. Brady, “The Welfare State and Relative Poverty in Rich Western Democracies 1967–1997,” Social Force 2005, no. 83 (2005): 1329–64.75 K. Imai, R. Gaiha, and W. Kang, “Vulnerability and Poverty Dynamics in Vietnam,” Applied Economics 43 (2011): 3603–18.76 P. J. Gertler, S. W. Martinez, and M. Rubio-Codina, “Investing Cash Transfers to Raise Long-term Living Standards,” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 4 (2012): 164–92.77 R. Yang, C. Zhong, Z. Yang, and Q. Wu, “Analysis on the Effect of the Targeted Poverty Alleviation Policy on Narrowing the Urban‒Rural Income Gap: An Empirical Test Based on 124 Counties in Yunnan Province,” Sustainability 12, no. 12560 (2022).78 T. Jianjun, G. Jiaowei, M. Wanglin, and B. R. Dil, “Narrowing Urban–Rural Income Gap in China: The Role of the Targeted Poverty Alleviation Program,” Economic Analysis and Policy 75 (2022): 74–90.79 Z. Yang, L. Zhen, W. Heng, and C. Guoqiang, “Targeted Poverty Alleviation Narrowed China's Urban‒Rural Income Gap: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis,” Applied Geography 157, no. 103000 (2023).80 S. M. Hwang et al., “Assessing the Impact of Meteorological Factors on Malaria Patients in Demilitarized Zones in Republic of Korea,” Infectious Diseases of Poverty 5, no. 20 (2016): 16–27.81 J. P. Guo, A. Z. Ning, and S. Qu, “Is the Comprehensive Development of Participatory Communities “Promoting the Poor” or “Overflowing the Rich”?—Based on the Perspective of Targeted Poverty Alleviation and Income Distribution Effects.” Agricultural Economics 38 (2017): 52–62.82 X. Li and L. Li, “Evaluation of China’s Targeted Poverty Alleviation Policies: A Decomposition Analysis Based on the Poverty Reduction Effects,” Sustainability 13, no. 11691 (2021).83 Wagle, “The Economic Footing of the Global Poor, 1980–2005: The Roles of Economic Growth, Openness and Political Institutions.”84 Anderson et al., “Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis.”85 Yu and Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China.”86 D. W. D. Van and D. Gunewardena, “Sources of Ethnic Inequality in Vietnam,” Journal of Development Economics 65, no. 1 (2001): 177–207.87 Anderson et al., “Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis.”88 Nguyen, Tran, and Van, “Ethnic Minorities in Northern Mountains of Vietnam: Employment, Poverty, and Income.”89 D. Benjamin, L. Brandt, and B. McCaig, “Growth with Equity: Income Inequality in Vietnam,” The Journal of Economic Inequality 15, no. 1 (2017): 25–46.90 H. Nguyen, T. Doan, and T. Q. Tran, “The Effect of Various Income Sources on Income Inequality: A Comparison across Ethnic Groups in Vietnam,” Environment, Development and Sustainability 22, (2020): 813–34.91 P. V. Phuc, “Does Globalization Affect Inequality? An Analysis of Vietnamese Data,” Journal of Southeast Asian Economies 39, no. 1 (2022): 96–108.92 Hoi and Hoi, “Financial Sector Development and Income Inequality in Vietnam: Evidence at the Provincial Level.”93 Yu and Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China.”94 V. A. Mahler, K. Loontjer, and S. Parang, “Income Inequality and Government Redistribution: A Cross-national Study,” Journal of Comparative Politics 8, no. 1 (2015): 75–94.95 K. Caminada and K. Goudswaard, “International Trends in Income Inequality and Social Policy,” International Tax and Public Finance 8 (2001): 395–415.96 B. Knoll and H. Pitlik, “Who Benefits from Big Government? A Life Satisfaction Approach,” Empirica 43, no. 3 (2016): 533–57.97 World Bank, From the Last Mile to the Next Mile- 2022 Vietnam Poverty and Equity Assessment (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2022).","PeriodicalId":493036,"journal":{"name":"Asian Affairs: An American Review","volume":"305 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-10-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Asian Affairs: An American Review","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00927678.2023.2262355","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
AbstractThis paper uses a fixed effects model and a fixed effects quantile regression to explore the relationship between government spending and poverty reduction in the 63 provinces of Vietnam from 2010 to 2020. Our study argues and finds that government spending plays a significant role in reducing the poverty rate in Vietnam. Furthermore, the paper shows that income per capita is a good proxy for the poverty rate. Given the influential role of government spending in reducing impoverishment, the study also finds that income inequality is a challenge to the Vietnamese government. It contributes to the literature on public finance in Vietnam and emerging markets. Additionally, it has policy implications for policymakers in these economies regarding addressing poverty alleviation and income inequality.Keywords: Government spendingpoverty reductionincome per capita Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 B. Westmore, “Do Government Transfers Reduce Poverty in China? Micro Evidence from Five Regions,” China Economic Review 51 (2018): 59–69.2 T. Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence,” Canadian Journal of Development Studies 27, no. 3 (2006): 267–85.3 L. Yanyan, B. B. Christopher, P. Trinh, and V. William, “The Intertemporal Evolution of Agriculture and Labor over a Rapid Structural Transformation: Lessons from Vietnam,” Food Policy 94, no. 101913 (2020), 94.4 W. Easterly and S. Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 33, no. 2 (2001): 160–78.5 Yanyan et al., “The Intertemporal Evolution of Agriculture and Labor over a Rapid Structural Transformation: Lessons from Vietnam.”6 R. C. Rosaria and L. U. M. Giorgio, “Structural Public Balance Adjustment and Poverty in Europe,” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 50 (2019): 227–36.7 Easterly and Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor.”8 Liu, W., Li, J., & Zhao, R. Rural public expenditure and poverty alleviation in China: A spatial econometric analysis. Journal of Agricultural Science 12 no. 6 (2020): 46.9 Easterly and Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor.”10 Ibid.11 Yanyan et al., “The Intertemporal Evolution of Agriculture and Labor over a Rapid Structural Transformation: Lessons from Vietnam.”12 H. Chính, Dành 21% ngân sách cho phúc lợi xã hội (Hà Nội: Government News, 2021).13 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”14 D. Van de Walle, “Population Growth and Poverty: Another Look at the Indian Time Series Data,” The Journal of Development Studies 21, no. 3 (1985): 429–439.15 V. N. Misra and H. B. R. Peter, “Terms of Trade, Rural Poverty, Technology and Investment: The Indian Experience, 1952-53 to 1990-91,” Economic and Political Weekly 31, no. 13 (1996): A2–A13.16 F. Shenggen, H. Peter, and T. Sukhadeo, “Government Spending, Growth and Poverty in Rural India,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 82, no. 4 (2000): 1038–51.17 Easterly and Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor.”18 G. Raghav and I. Katsushi, “Rural Public Works and Poverty Alleviation - The Case of the Employment Guarantee Scheme in Maharashtra,” International Review of Applied Economics 16, no. 2 (2002): 131–51.19 M. Sanjukta and B. Todd, “The Determinants of Poverty in Malawi, 1998,” World Development 31, no. 2 (2003): 339–58.20 I. S. Katsushi, G. Raghav, and K. Woojin, “Poverty, Inequality and Ethnic Minorities in Vietnam,” International Review of Applied Economics 25, no. 3 (2011): 249–82.21 U. R. Wagle, “The Economic Footing of the Global Poor, 1980–2005: The Roles of Economic Growth, Openness and Political Institutions,” Journal of International Development, 24, no. S1 (2012): S173–97.22 B.-O. M. O. Mohsen, “Poverty Reduction and Aid: Cross-country Evidence,” International Journal of Sociology and Social Policy 29, no. 5/6 (2019): 264–73.23 Rosaria and Giorgio, “Structural Public Balance Adjustment and Poverty in Europe.”24 L. R. Yu and X. Y. Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China,” Journal of Integrative Agriculture 20, no. 4 (2021): 1060–67.25 Rosaria and Giorgio, “Structural Public Balance Adjustment and Poverty in Europe.”26 Shenggen, Peter, and Sukhadeo, “Government Spending, Growth and Poverty in Rural India.”27 Westmore, “Do Government Transfers Reduce Poverty in China? Micro Evidence from Five Regions.”28 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”29 Yu and Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China.”30 Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence.”31 Wagle, “The Economic Footing of the Global Poor, 1980–2005: The Roles of Economic Growth, Openness and Political Institutions.”32 E. Anderson, M. A. J. d’Orey, D. Maren, and E. Lucio, “Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis,” World Development 103 (2018): 60–71.33 Easterly and Fischer, “Inflation and the Poor.”34 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”35 Anderson et al., “Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis.”36 Van de Walle, “Population Growth and Poverty: Another Look at the Indian Time Series Data.”37 Mohsen, “Poverty Reduction and Aid: Cross-country Evidence.”38 Yanyan et al., “The Intertemporal Evolution of Agriculture and Labor over a Rapid Structural Transformation: Lessons from Vietnam.”39 Westmore, “Do Government Transfers Reduce Poverty in China? Micro Evidence from Five Regions.”40 Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence.”41 Ibid.42 F. Shenggen, L. P. Huong, and Q. T. Long, Government Spending and Poverty Reduction in Vietnam (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2004).43 Vietnamese General Statistics Office.44 C. V. Nguyen, T. Q. Tran, and H. V. Van, “Ethnic Minorities in Northern Mountains of Vietnam: Employment, Poverty, and Income,” Social Indicators Research 134, no. 1 (2017): 93–115.45 L. Q. Hoi and C. M. Hoi, “Financial Sector Development and Income Inequality in Vietnam: Evidence at the Provincial Level,” Journal of Southeast Asian Economies 30, no. 3 (2013): 263–77.46 Shenggen, Huong, and Long, Government Spending and Poverty Reduction in Vietnam.47 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”48 Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence.”49 Raghav and Katsushi, “Rural Public Works and Poverty Alleviation - The Case of the Employment Guarantee Scheme in Maharashtra.”50 Shenggen, Huong, and Long, Government Spending and Poverty Reduction in Vietnam.51 Ibid.52 Shenggen, Peter, and Sukhadeo, “Government Spending, Growth and Poverty in Rural India.”53 Weilin, Jingdong, and Rong, “Rural Public Expenditure and Poverty Alleviation in China: A Spatial Econometric Analysis.”54 Yu and Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China.”55 Sanjukta and Todd, “The Determinants of Poverty in Malawi, 1998.”56 Ming-Chang, “Economic and Non-economic Determinants of Poverty in Developing Countries: Competing Theories and Empirical Evidence.”57 Katsushi, Raghav, and Woojin, “Poverty, Inequality and Ethnic Minorities in Vietnam.”58 Van de Walle, “Population Growth and Poverty: Another Look at the Indian Time Series Data.”59 O. D. Vietnam, Open Development Vietnam, 2021, https://vietnam.opendevelopmentmekong.net/vi/topics/poverty-policy-and-regulation/ (accessed August 11, 2022).60 D. Mạnh, Đẩy mạnh ứng dụng khoa học, công nghệ để thoát nghèo bền vững (Hanoi: Ministry of Information and Communications, 2023).61 Vietnam, Open Development Vietnam.62 T. Trang, Khoa học và công nghệ góp phần tăng cường nguồn lực, phát triển sản xuất, xóa đói giảm nghèo (Binh Duong: Binh Duong Department of Science and Technology, 2020).63 The World Bank, World Development Indicators (The World Bank).64 Vietnamese General Statistics Office.65 Misra and Peter, “Terms of Trade, Rural Poverty, Technology and Investment: The Indian Experience, 1952-53 to 1990-91.”66 Raghav and Katsushi, “Rural Public Works and Poverty Alleviation - The Case of the Employment Guarantee Scheme in Maharashtra.”67 R. Koenker and G. J. Bassett, “Regression Quantiles,” Econometrica 46, no. 1 (1978): 33–50.68 P. Jordi, F. Erik, and S. Juan, “Quantile Regression for the FDI Gravity Equation,” Journal of Business Research 68 (2015): 1512–18.69 World Bank, Báo cáo đánh giá nghèo Việt Nam 2012 (Vietnam Poverty Assessment Report) (Hanoi: Vietnam World Bank, 2012).70 UNDP, Báo cáo đánh giá nghèo đa chiều Việt Nam (Viet Nam Multidimensional Poverty Report) (Hanoi: United Nations Development Programme, 2012–2016).71 T. Robert, H. Ann, and M. Justine, “Urban and Rural Estimates of Poverty: Recent Advances in Spatial Microsimulation in Australia,” Geographical Research, 48, no. 1 (2010): 52–64.72 C. Hensley, P. C. Heaton, R. S. Kahn, H. R. Luder, S. M. Frede, A. F. Beck. “Poverty, Transportation Access, and Medication Nonadherence,” Pediatrics 141, no. 4 (2018): e20173402. doi: 10.1542/peds.2017-3402.73 Hoi, Le Quoc; Hoi, Chu Minh. Journal of Southeast Asian Economies; Singapore Vol. 30, Iss. 3, (Dec 2013): 263–277.74 D. Brady, “The Welfare State and Relative Poverty in Rich Western Democracies 1967–1997,” Social Force 2005, no. 83 (2005): 1329–64.75 K. Imai, R. Gaiha, and W. Kang, “Vulnerability and Poverty Dynamics in Vietnam,” Applied Economics 43 (2011): 3603–18.76 P. J. Gertler, S. W. Martinez, and M. Rubio-Codina, “Investing Cash Transfers to Raise Long-term Living Standards,” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 4 (2012): 164–92.77 R. Yang, C. Zhong, Z. Yang, and Q. Wu, “Analysis on the Effect of the Targeted Poverty Alleviation Policy on Narrowing the Urban‒Rural Income Gap: An Empirical Test Based on 124 Counties in Yunnan Province,” Sustainability 12, no. 12560 (2022).78 T. Jianjun, G. Jiaowei, M. Wanglin, and B. R. Dil, “Narrowing Urban–Rural Income Gap in China: The Role of the Targeted Poverty Alleviation Program,” Economic Analysis and Policy 75 (2022): 74–90.79 Z. Yang, L. Zhen, W. Heng, and C. Guoqiang, “Targeted Poverty Alleviation Narrowed China's Urban‒Rural Income Gap: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis,” Applied Geography 157, no. 103000 (2023).80 S. M. Hwang et al., “Assessing the Impact of Meteorological Factors on Malaria Patients in Demilitarized Zones in Republic of Korea,” Infectious Diseases of Poverty 5, no. 20 (2016): 16–27.81 J. P. Guo, A. Z. Ning, and S. Qu, “Is the Comprehensive Development of Participatory Communities “Promoting the Poor” or “Overflowing the Rich”?—Based on the Perspective of Targeted Poverty Alleviation and Income Distribution Effects.” Agricultural Economics 38 (2017): 52–62.82 X. Li and L. Li, “Evaluation of China’s Targeted Poverty Alleviation Policies: A Decomposition Analysis Based on the Poverty Reduction Effects,” Sustainability 13, no. 11691 (2021).83 Wagle, “The Economic Footing of the Global Poor, 1980–2005: The Roles of Economic Growth, Openness and Political Institutions.”84 Anderson et al., “Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis.”85 Yu and Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China.”86 D. W. D. Van and D. Gunewardena, “Sources of Ethnic Inequality in Vietnam,” Journal of Development Economics 65, no. 1 (2001): 177–207.87 Anderson et al., “Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis.”88 Nguyen, Tran, and Van, “Ethnic Minorities in Northern Mountains of Vietnam: Employment, Poverty, and Income.”89 D. Benjamin, L. Brandt, and B. McCaig, “Growth with Equity: Income Inequality in Vietnam,” The Journal of Economic Inequality 15, no. 1 (2017): 25–46.90 H. Nguyen, T. Doan, and T. Q. Tran, “The Effect of Various Income Sources on Income Inequality: A Comparison across Ethnic Groups in Vietnam,” Environment, Development and Sustainability 22, (2020): 813–34.91 P. V. Phuc, “Does Globalization Affect Inequality? An Analysis of Vietnamese Data,” Journal of Southeast Asian Economies 39, no. 1 (2022): 96–108.92 Hoi and Hoi, “Financial Sector Development and Income Inequality in Vietnam: Evidence at the Provincial Level.”93 Yu and Li, “The Effects of Social Security Expenditure on Reducing Income Inequality and Rural Poverty in China.”94 V. A. Mahler, K. Loontjer, and S. Parang, “Income Inequality and Government Redistribution: A Cross-national Study,” Journal of Comparative Politics 8, no. 1 (2015): 75–94.95 K. Caminada and K. Goudswaard, “International Trends in Income Inequality and Social Policy,” International Tax and Public Finance 8 (2001): 395–415.96 B. Knoll and H. Pitlik, “Who Benefits from Big Government? A Life Satisfaction Approach,” Empirica 43, no. 3 (2016): 533–57.97 World Bank, From the Last Mile to the Next Mile- 2022 Vietnam Poverty and Equity Assessment (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2022).
摘要本文采用固定效应模型和固定效应分位数回归对越南63个省份2010 - 2020年政府支出与减贫之间的关系进行了研究。我们的研究认为并发现政府支出在降低越南贫困率方面发挥了重要作用。此外,本文还表明,人均收入是贫困率的一个很好的指标。考虑到政府支出在减少贫困方面的重要作用,该研究还发现,收入不平等是越南政府面临的一个挑战。它为越南和新兴市场的公共财政文献做出了贡献。此外,它对这些经济体的政策制定者在解决减贫和收入不平等方面具有政策意义。关键词:政府支出减贫人均收入披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突。注1:B. Westmore,“政府转移支付是否减少了中国的贫困?”谭明昌,“发展中国家贫困的经济与非经济因素:相互竞争的理论与经验证据”,《中国经济研究》第27期。李燕燕,陈永明,陈永明,“农业和劳动力在快速结构转型中的跨期演变:来自越南的经验教训”,《粮食政策》第94期,第267-85.3页。[10] [13] (2020), 94.4 w .]伊斯特利和S.费舍尔,《通货膨胀与穷人》,《货币、信贷与银行杂志》33期,第2期。闫燕等,“快速结构转型中农业和劳动力的跨期演变:来自越南的经验教训”,第2期(2001):160-78.5。6 R. C. Rosaria和L. U. M. Giorgio,“结构性公共平衡调整与欧洲的贫困”,结构变化与经济动态50(2019):227-36.7。[8]刘伟,李军,赵锐,赵锐。中国农村公共支出与扶贫:一个空间计量分析。农业科学学报12期。《通货膨胀与穷人》,第6期(2020):46.9。10同上11燕燕等人,“快速结构转型中的农业和劳动力的跨期演变:来自越南的经验教训。”12 H. Chính, Dành 21% ng<e:1> sách cho phúc lợi xã hội (h<s:2> Nội:政府新闻,2021).13魏林、景东、荣,“中国农村公共支出与扶贫:一个空间计量分析”。14 D. Van de Walle,“人口增长与贫困:对印度时间序列数据的另一种看法”,《发展研究杂志》21期,第2期。3 (1985): 429-439.15 v。N. Misra, H. B. R. Peter,“贸易条件、农村贫困、技术与投资:1952-53至1990-91年的印度经验”,《经济与政治周刊》第31期。13 (1996): a2-a13.16 f。沈根,H. Peter和T. Sukhadeo,“印度农村的政府支出、增长和贫困”,《美国农业经济学杂志》,第82期。“通货膨胀与穷人”,《经济学人》第4期。[18]李志刚,“农村公共工程与农村扶贫——以马邦就业保障计划为例”,《国际经济评论》第16期。M. Sanjukta和B. Todd,《马拉维贫困的决定因素》,1998,《世界发展》第31期。李志刚,吴金。《贫困、不平等与越南少数民族的关系》,《国际经济评论》第25期。[21]王旭东,《中国贫困人口的经济基础:1980-2005:经济增长、开放和政治制度的作用》,《国际发展研究》,第24期。科学通报1 (2012):s173-97.22。M. O. Mohsen,“减少贫困与援助:跨国证据”,《国际社会学与社会政策杂志》,第29期。5/6 (2019): 264-73.23 Rosaria和Giorgio,“结构性公共平衡调整与欧洲贫困”。[24]于立荣,李晓燕,“社会保障支出对中国农村收入差距和贫困的影响”,《中国农业研究》第20期。罗沙里亚和乔治。“结构性公共平衡调整与欧洲贫困。”26 Peter Shenggen和Sukhadeo,《印度农村的政府支出、增长和贫困》。韦斯特莫尔,《政府转移支付能减少中国的贫困吗?》来自五个区域的微观证据。28魏林,景东,荣,“中国农村公共支出与扶贫:一个空间计量分析”。[29]于、李,“社会保障支出对减少收入差距和农村贫困的影响”。[30]张明昌,“发展中国家贫困的经济和非经济决定因素:相互竞争的理论和经验证据”。