Impact of China’s Foreign Direct Investment on The Rwandan Economic Growth

Moses Mutabazi
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Abstract

The purpose of this study was to investigate the exact impact in quantitative terms of China’s FDI on the Economic development of the African continent with reference to Rwanda. The target population comprised 10 staff members of National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda, Rwanda Development Board, Ministry of Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, United Nations (UN) Statistics, and World Bank's World Development Indicators. The sample size was 10 key informants. The researcher used questionnaire, interview guide and desk review as data analysis tools. The SPSS was used to analyze data into descriptive and inferential statistics. Results discover that in Rwanda a foreign direct investment depends on the consumer prices index. The study found out that 54.3% agreed with the consumer prices index, foreign direct investment is influenced by owner-occupiers' housing costs as it was evidenced by 62.8%, it was seen the retail prices index, where 56.7% agreed. Correlation analysis between the Owner-occupiers' housing costs and economic growth show a significant correlation between owner-occupiers' housing costs and job creation (r=.206; p-value=.000). This was statistically correlated given the p value was <0.005 proposing that increase in owner-occupiers' housing costs has led to a job creation in Rwanda. The study demonstrated that 64.6% agreed that the nominal effective exchange influence foreign direct investment, 45.1% strongly agreed with the real effective exchange rate. Correlation results felt that choice of price or cost felt that it is significantly correlated with a growth domestic product (r=0.123*; p value=0.034). The study sought to evaluate the effect of Balance of Trade on the economic growth of Rwanda. The study evidenced that participants agreed that the financial account statements by 55.5% while the study found that capital account is affecting foreign direct investment. It was shown by 53.0%. Results show a significant correlation between capital account and poverty reduction (r=0.105, p-value=0.071). The correlations were statistically significant given that the p value was < 0.05 proposing that an increase in capital account was insignificant with the economic growth and vice versa. The study concludes that inflation rate, exchange rate and balance of trade and thus FDI, have a significance effect on the economic growth in Rwanda. The study recommends that foreign direct investment strategies could be adopted in everyday activities. It would be appropriate to consider most favored nation and trade liberalization and investment as a criteria of exporting companies for improving economic growth. Future research can be conducted using longitudinal research to identify factors which contribute to economic growth. Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Growth, Rwanda.
中国对外直接投资对卢旺达经济增长的影响
本研究的目的是在数量上调查中国的外国直接投资对非洲大陆经济发展的确切影响,并参考卢旺达。目标人群包括卢旺达国家统计研究所、卢旺达发展委员会、贸易和工业部、财政和经济规划部、联合国统计和世界银行世界发展指标的10名工作人员。样本量为10名关键线人。研究者采用问卷调查、访谈指南和案头回顾作为数据分析工具。采用SPSS统计软件对数据进行描述性统计和推断性统计。结果发现,在卢旺达,外国直接投资取决于消费者价格指数。研究发现,54.3%的人同意消费者价格指数,62.8%的人同意外国直接投资受自住者住房成本的影响,零售价格指数也有56.7%的人同意。自住业主住房成本与经济增长的相关分析显示,自住业主住房成本与就业创造之间存在显著相关性(r=.206;假定值=组织)。这在统计上是相关的,因为p值为<0.005,这表明自住业主住房成本的增加导致了卢旺达的就业机会。研究表明,64.6%的人同意名义有效汇率影响外商直接投资,45.1%的人强烈同意实际有效汇率影响外商直接投资。相关结果认为,价格或成本的选择感觉与国内生产总值的增长显著相关(r=0.123*;p值= 0.034)。这项研究试图评价贸易平衡对卢旺达经济增长的影响。研究表明,55.5%的参与者同意财务账户报表,而研究发现资本账户正在影响外国直接投资。放映率为53.0%。结果显示,资本账户与减贫之间存在显著相关性(r=0.105, p值=0.071)。考虑到p值为<0.05表明资本账户的增加与经济增长无关,反之亦然。研究的结论是,通货膨胀率,汇率和贸易平衡,从而外国直接投资,对卢旺达的经济增长有重大影响。该研究建议,可以在日常活动中采用外国直接投资战略。为了改善经济增长,将最惠国待遇和贸易自由化及投资作为出口企业的标准是合适的。未来的研究可以通过纵向研究来确定促进经济增长的因素。关键词:外商直接投资,经济增长,卢旺达。
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