A Predictive Model with Data Scaling Methodologies for Forecasting Spare Parts Demand in Military Logistics

Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI:10.14429/dsj.73.19129
Jae-Dong Kim, Ji-Hwan Hwang, Hyoung-Ho Doh
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Abstract

This study addresses the challenge of accurately forecasting demand for maintenance-related spare parts of the K-X tank, influenced by high uncertainty and external factors. Deep learning models with RobustScaler demonstrate significant improvements, achieving an accuracy of 86.90% compared to previous methods. RobustScaler outperforms other scaling models, enhancing machine learning performance across time series and data mining. By collecting eight years’ worth of demand data and utilising various consumption data items, this study develops accurate forecasting models that contribute to the advancement of spare parts demand forecasting. The results highlight the effectiveness of the proposed approach, showcasing its superiority in accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-Score. RobustScaler particularly excels in time series analysis, further emphasizing its potential for enhancing machine learning performance on diverse datasets. This study provides innovative techniques and insights, demonstrating the effectiveness of deep learning and data scaling methodologies in improving forecasting accuracy for maintenance spare parts demand.
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基于数据标度方法的军事后勤备件需求预测模型
本研究解决了在高不确定性和外部因素影响下,准确预测K-X坦克维修相关备件需求的挑战。与以前的方法相比,使用RobustScaler的深度学习模型显示出显着的改进,实现了86.90%的准确率。RobustScaler优于其他缩放模型,增强了跨时间序列和数据挖掘的机器学习性能。本研究通过收集8年的需求数据,并利用各种消费数据项,建立准确的预测模型,为备件需求预测的进步做出贡献。结果表明,该方法在正确率、精密度、查全率和F1-Score方面具有优势。RobustScaler尤其擅长时间序列分析,进一步强调了其在不同数据集上增强机器学习性能的潜力。本研究提供了创新的技术和见解,证明了深度学习和数据缩放方法在提高维修备件需求预测准确性方面的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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