CONFLICT OF INTEREST, POLICY EFFECTIVENESS, AND ELECTORAL SUPPORT: EVIDENCE FROM A SURVEY EXPERIMENT

E. A. Sedashov, K. A. Krikunov
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Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of the influence of the facts of conflict of interest on the electoral support of politicians. To identify causality in the Russian sample, a vignette experiment was conducted, in which respondents received various facts about the biography of candidates. Respondents were asked to answer questions about the attractiveness of politicians and the potential desire to vote for them based on the information received. According to the results of the study, it was found that the disclosure of the facts of the existence of a conflict of interest has a direct impact on the level of support for candidates in individual cases. The effect is significant if the politician has previously demonstrated high performance in the implementation of socio-economic policy. On the contrary, potential voters turned out to be tolerant of information about a conflict of interest in case of inefficiency of politicians in previous periods. The empirical results obtained are partially consistent with previous experiments in other countries and contribute to the discussion about building the election campaign of incumbents. Separately, the article highlights the methodological features of conducting experiments in the social sciences, including the potential limitations imposed by the chosen design on the interpretation of the empirical results obtained.
利益冲突、政策有效性和选举支持:来自调查实验的证据
这篇文章致力于研究利益冲突的事实对政治家选举支持的影响。为了确定俄罗斯样本中的因果关系,进行了一个小插曲实验,在这个实验中,受访者收到了关于候选人传记的各种事实。受访者被要求回答有关政治家的吸引力以及根据所收到的信息投票给他们的潜在意愿的问题。根据研究结果,发现利益冲突存在事实的披露在个别情况下对候选人的支持程度有直接影响。如果政治家以前在执行社会经济政策方面表现出色,则效果显著。相反,潜在选民对过去政治人士的低效率导致的利益冲突的信息持宽容态度。所获得的实证结果与其他国家的实验结果部分一致,有助于讨论建立现任者的竞选活动。另外,本文强调了在社会科学中进行实验的方法特征,包括所选择的设计对所获得的经验结果的解释所施加的潜在限制。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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