Assessing the effects of terrorism on female health outcomes: Evidence from sub-Saharan African countries

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Achille Dargaud Fofack, Gbolahan Olowu, Olakunle Olusola Sarumi
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Abstract

This paper aims at assessing the effects of terrorism on a range of female health outcomes in 20 sub‐Saharan African countries between 2002 and 2018. A causality test is implemented to find out if terrorism causes a deterioration in female health outcomes. Additionally, regression analysis is used to assess the impact of terrorism on female health outcomes after con‐ trolling for female education, seats held by women in parliament, average income, military expenditure, political stability, and the incidence of malaria. The causality analysis shows that terrorism is directly altering female health through its impact on mortality outcomes while its impact on the other dimensions of female health is indirect or uncertain. The regression analysis reveals that terrorism has a positive, significant, and robust impact on the lifetime risk of maternal death and the maternal mortality ratio meanwhile its effects on the fertility rate, the proportion of women living with HIV, and life expectancy are not significant. The findings suggest that African governments could improve female health outcomes by altering the root causes of terrorism with policies promoting the rule of law, ethnic and religious diversity, inclusive political dialogue, checks and balances, and strong political institutions.
评估恐怖主义对女性健康结果的影响:来自撒哈拉以南非洲国家的证据
本文旨在评估2002年至2018年期间,恐怖主义对20个撒哈拉以南非洲国家一系列女性健康结果的影响。实施了一项因果关系检验,以查明恐怖主义是否会导致女性健康状况恶化。此外,在控制了女性受教育程度、女性在议会中所占席位、平均收入、军事开支、政治稳定和疟疾发病率之后,还使用回归分析来评估恐怖主义对女性健康结果的影响。因果关系分析表明,恐怖主义通过其对死亡率结果的影响直接改变了女性健康,而其对女性健康其他方面的影响是间接的或不确定的。回归分析显示,恐怖主义对孕产妇死亡的终生风险和孕产妇死亡率有积极、显著和稳健的影响,而对生育率、感染艾滋病毒的妇女比例和预期寿命的影响不显著。研究结果表明,非洲各国政府可以通过促进法治、种族和宗教多样性、包容性政治对话、制衡和强大政治机构的政策来改变恐怖主义的根源,从而改善女性的健康状况。
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来源期刊
Applied Econometrics
Applied Econometrics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The Journal of Applied Econometrics is an international journal published bi-monthly, plus 1 additional issue (total 7 issues). It aims to publish articles of high quality dealing with the application of existing as well as new econometric techniques to a wide variety of problems in economics and related subjects, covering topics in measurement, estimation, testing, forecasting, and policy analysis. The emphasis is on the careful and rigorous application of econometric techniques and the appropriate interpretation of the results. The economic content of the articles is stressed. A special feature of the Journal is its emphasis on the replicability of results by other researchers. To achieve this aim, authors are expected to make available a complete set of the data used as well as any specialised computer programs employed through a readily accessible medium, preferably in a machine-readable form. The use of microcomputers in applied research and transferability of data is emphasised. The Journal also features occasional sections of short papers re-evaluating previously published papers. The intention of the Journal of Applied Econometrics is to provide an outlet for innovative, quantitative research in economics which cuts across areas of specialisation, involves transferable techniques, and is easily replicable by other researchers. Contributions that introduce statistical methods that are applicable to a variety of economic problems are actively encouraged. The Journal also aims to publish review and survey articles that make recent developments in the field of theoretical and applied econometrics more readily accessible to applied economists in general.
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