PSEUDO GLOBAL WARMING EXPERIMENTS OF BEACH MORPHOLOGICAL CHANGE: CASE STUDY IN NIIGATA COAST CAUSED BY TYPHOON LUPIT (2021)

Abstract

Extreme external forces such as associated with strong cyclones have often caused severe coastal erosions. Numerical simulation models have been employed for evaluating these coastal morphological changes (Roelvink et al., 2009). However, few studies focused on the morphological response caused by tropical cyclones under expected climate change. In this study, field surveys and numerical simulations were conducted to evaluate morphological changes caused by typhoon Lupit (2021) on Niigata coast. PGW (Pseudo Global Warming) methods under the SSP scenarios of IPCC AR6 were used to simulate morphological responses under expected climate change.