The Effect of Real Exchange Rate on Current Account

Moaned Talib Al-Hamdi, Mahmood Alshammari, Mohammad Alawin
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Abstract

This research studies the impact of real Gross Domestic Production (GDP) and real exchange rate on the Current Account position in Jordan, during the quarterly periods from 2008 to 2022. The study reviews the literature on the theoretical framework around the impact of real GDP and fluctuations of the real exchange rate on the current account status. This study describes the performance of the current account during the study period and applies the appropriate econometric tests to an economic model. The main results show a significant, positive effect of real GDP growth in improving the status and sustainability of the current account; output growth indicates an increase in production leading to higher levels of exports and lower levels of imports. The results did not show a significant effect of the real exchange rate on the current account position, which is largely attributed to the stabilization policy of exchange rate pursued by the Central Bank of Jordan since October 1995.
实际汇率对经常项目的影响
本研究研究了2008年至2022年季度期间约旦实际国内生产总值(GDP)和实际汇率对经常账户状况的影响。本研究回顾了有关实际GDP和实际汇率波动对经常账户状况影响的理论框架的文献。本研究描述了在研究期间经常账户的表现,并对经济模型进行了适当的计量经济学检验。主要结果表明,实际GDP增长对改善经常账户状况和可持续性有显著的积极影响;产出增长表明生产的增加导致出口水平的提高和进口水平的降低。结果并没有显示实际汇率对经常帐户状况的重大影响,这主要是由于约旦中央银行自1995年10月以来实行的汇率稳定政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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