Future Food Production Prediction Using AROA Based Hybrid Deep Learning Model in Agri-Sector

Abstract

Abstract Policymaking and administration of national tactics of action for food security rely heavily on advances in models for accurate estimation of food output. In several fields, including food science and engineering, machine learning (ML) has been established to be an effective tool for data investigation and modelling. There has been a rise in recent years in the application of ML models to the tracking and forecasting of food safety. In our analysis, we focused on two sources of food production: livestock production and agricultural production. Livestock production was measured in terms of yield, number of animals, and sum of animals slaughtered; crop output was measured in terms of yields and losses. An innovative hybrid deep learning model is proposed in this paper by fusing a Dense Convolutional Network (DenseNet) with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to do production analysis. The hybridised algorithm, or A-ROA for short, combines the Arithmetic Optimisation Algorithm (AOA) and the Rider Optimisation Algorithm (ROA) to determine the ideal weight of the LSTM. The current investigation focuses on Iran as a case study. Therefore, we have collected FAOSTAT time series data on livestock and farming outputs in Iran from 1961 to 2017. Findings from this study can help policymakers plan for future generations' food safety and supply by providing a model to anticipate the upcoming food construction.