THE IMPACT OF THE ALTMAN SCORE ON THE ENERGY SECTOR COMPANIES

Maria-Lenuţa Ciupac-Ulici, Daniela-Georgeta Beju, Ioan-Alin Nistor, Flaviu Pișcoran
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Abstract

The financial literature regarding bankruptcy prediction models includes the application of several statistical tools which have progressively become accessible. This paper explores the impact of the Altman score on the stock prices of the Romanian companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange during the period 2014-2022. The Altman score is calculated based on the annual reports of the analyzed companies collected from the Bloomberg database, while the stock exchange prices are collected from the Euromonitor database. The methodology used in the analysis is panel regression realized with the Generalized Method of Movements technique. The data is processed using the EViews software. This research study shows that there is a negative correlation between the Altman Z score and the companies’ share price. In terms of theoretical contribution, this study investigates one of the bankruptcy prediction models that is used more often than other models, namely the Altman Z-Score.
奥特曼指数对能源板块公司的影响
关于破产预测模型的金融文献包括几种统计工具的应用,这些工具逐渐变得容易获得。本文探讨了2014-2022年期间奥特曼得分对布加勒斯特证券交易所上市的罗马尼亚公司股票价格的影响。Altman指数的计算依据是从彭博数据库中收集的被分析公司的年度报告,而股票交易价格则是从欧睿数据库中收集的。分析采用的方法是用广义运动法技术实现的面板回归。数据处理使用EViews软件。本研究表明,Altman Z得分与公司股价呈负相关关系。在理论贡献方面,本研究考察了一种较常用的破产预测模型,即Altman Z-Score。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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