Impact of Financial Development on Inflation in Tanzania: Empirical Evidence from the VECM Approach

Abstract

This study examines the impact of financial development on inflation in Tanzania using time series data from 1980 to 2020. By employing the VECM analysis method, the study contributes to the existing literature on the relationship between financial development and inflation. The findings reveal that financial development has a significant long-run impact on inflation in Tanzania, resulting in a reduction in inflation in the country. However, in the short run, the impact of financial development on inflation is not statistically significant. Therefore, the study recommends that the government implement appropriate regulatory policies and supervise financial institutions to promote financial sector stability. Further, to promote financial sector stability, greater financial inclusion, higher investment, and economic growth, the government should improve financial market infrastructure, expand the coverage of financial institutions, and increase access to credit. Additionally, fostering the development of more efficient payment systems, particularly electronic payment systems, can mitigate expenses and potential risks associated with cash transactions. Moreover, promoting financial inclusion can reduce the need for cash and enhance the efficacy of monetary policy, serving as a preventive measure against inflationary pressures and unnecessary credit growth.