A Comparative Analysis of Regression Models for Software Effort Estimation

Md. Tanziar Rahman, Md. Motaharul Islam, Ummay Salma Shorna
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Abstract

Software Effort Estimation is the utmost task in software engineering and project management. This is important to estimate cost properly and the number of people required for a project to be developed. Many techniques have been used to estimate cost, time, schedule and required manpower for software development industries. Nowadays software is developed in a more complex way and its success depends on efficient estimation techniques. In this research, we have compared five regression algorithms on different projects to estimate software effort. The main advantage of these models is they can be used in the early stages of the software life cycle and that can be helpful to project managers to conduct effort estimation efficiently before starting the project. It avoids project overestimation and late delivery. Software size, productivity, complexity and requirement stability are the input vectors for these regression models. The estimated efforts have been calculated using Ridge Regression, Lasso Regression, Elastic Net, Random Forest and Support Vector Regression. We have compared unitedly these models for the first time as software effort estimators. R-squared Score, Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) are calculated for these regression models. Ridge, Lasso and Elastic Net show comparatively better results among others.
软件工作量估算的回归模型比较分析
软件工作量估算是软件工程和项目管理的重中之重。这对于正确估计成本和开发项目所需的人员数量非常重要。许多技术已经被用于估算软件开发行业的成本、时间、进度和所需的人力。如今,软件开发的方式越来越复杂,它的成功取决于有效的评估技术。在这项研究中,我们在不同的项目中比较了五种回归算法来估计软件的工作量。这些模型的主要优点是它们可以在软件生命周期的早期阶段使用,并且可以帮助项目经理在开始项目之前有效地进行工作量评估。它避免了项目高估和延迟交付。软件的大小、生产力、复杂性和需求稳定性是这些回归模型的输入向量。利用Ridge回归、Lasso回归、Elastic Net、Random Forest和支持向量回归等方法计算了估算的工作量。我们第一次将这些模型作为软件工作量估算器进行了统一的比较。对这些回归模型计算r平方分数、均方误差(MSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)。其中Ridge、Lasso和Elastic Net的效果相对较好。
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