Feature Selection for Machine Learning-Based Core Body Temperature Estimation Using Hand-Measurable Biological Information

Abstract

Core body temperature (CBT) is an important health indicator that denotes the temperature of the body core, and maintains brain and organ function. Invasive methods of CBT measurement pose challenges in assessing and monitoring human health. To address this, estimation of tympanic membrane temperature using multiple biological parameters often referenced for CBT has been attempted in previous studies. Our research focused on machine learning-based CBT estimation using hand-measurable biological data. Furthermore, while various studies have investigated machine learning models and the impact of information acquisition environments, few have compared the estimation accuracy of different biological parameters or assessed optimal feature combinations. Our proposed method entails the evaluation of indices in both normal scenarios with all variables and patterned scenarios with varying combinations of reduced explanatory variables. The comparison results reveal that when estimating the CBT based on skin conductance and pulse wave intervals excluding skin temperature, the mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error were 0.17 °C, 0.71, and 0.24 °C, respectively. This suggests that our approach is a feasible CBT estimation method that does not rely on skin temperature, although accuracy concerns persist. Furthermore, the estimation of the difference between CBT and skin temperature suggests that the estimation method may have accounted for individual variations within the data. Implementing the proposed method in increasingly popular smart rings and watches could facilitate the acquisition of CBT in daily life.