{"title":"Wildfire prediction for California using and comparing Spatio-Temporal Knowledge Graphs","authors":"Martin Böckling, Heiko Paulheim, Sarah Detzler","doi":"10.1515/itit-2023-0061","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The frequency of wildfires increases yearly and poses a constant threat to the environment and human beings. Different factors, for example surrounding infrastructure to an area (e.g., campfire sites or power lines) contribute to the occurrence of wildfires. In this paper, we propose using a Spatio-Temporal Knowledge Graph (STKG) based on OpenStreetMap (OSM) data for modeling such infrastructure. Based on that knowledge graph, we use the RDF2vec approach to create embeddings for predicting wildfires, and we align different vector spaces generated at each temporal step by partial rotation. In an experimental study, we determine the effect of the surrounding infrastructure by comparing different data composition strategies, which involve a prediction based on tabular data, a combination of tabular data and embeddings, and solely embeddings. We show that the incorporation of the STKG increases the prediction quality of wildfires.","PeriodicalId":43953,"journal":{"name":"IT-Information Technology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IT-Information Technology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1515/itit-2023-0061","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Abstract The frequency of wildfires increases yearly and poses a constant threat to the environment and human beings. Different factors, for example surrounding infrastructure to an area (e.g., campfire sites or power lines) contribute to the occurrence of wildfires. In this paper, we propose using a Spatio-Temporal Knowledge Graph (STKG) based on OpenStreetMap (OSM) data for modeling such infrastructure. Based on that knowledge graph, we use the RDF2vec approach to create embeddings for predicting wildfires, and we align different vector spaces generated at each temporal step by partial rotation. In an experimental study, we determine the effect of the surrounding infrastructure by comparing different data composition strategies, which involve a prediction based on tabular data, a combination of tabular data and embeddings, and solely embeddings. We show that the incorporation of the STKG increases the prediction quality of wildfires.