FEATURES OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION IN THE MODERN WORLD

Anzhelika CHEPELENKO
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Abstract

Research on the patterns of international migration, along with the economic, social, and cultural transformations resulting from the reorientation of regional migration flows in the 21st century, is of paramount relevance for countries actively modernizing their migration policies. This article aims to identify the fundamental regularities of migration dynamics in both donor and recipient countries, based on an assessment of the macroeconomic impact of international migration over the period from 1990 to 2020. The study utilized quantitative measurement methods from organizations such as the World Bank, the United Nations, the International Organization for Migration, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, along with analytical and statistical information. The research reveals that recent migration flows consist of a combination of enduring trends, despite obstacles imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic, which are anticipated to strengthen in the coming decades, as well as sporadic surges triggered by crises and natural disasters. Various demographic trends, climate-induced stressors, transformative technologies, and growing inequalities within and between countries serve as driving forces in contemporary international migration. Simultaneously, violence, conflicts, and despair have led to sudden and substantial population movements, including those from Syria, South Sudan, Myanmar, Venezuela, and more recently, Ukraine. The findings emphasize the complexity and unpredictability of international migration dynamics. However, the ever-expanding and improving data and information resources may enhance our understanding of the critical aspects of migration in increasingly uncertain times. The primary research findings, which offer scientific novelty, introduce a fundamentally new approach to comprehending the role of factors regulating migration processes. The practical significance of the results lies in the development of recommendations and proposals that can be useful in shaping and implementing national migration policies.
现代世界国际移民的特点
研究国际移民的模式,以及21世纪区域移民流动重新定位所导致的经济、社会和文化转型,对于积极实现移民政策现代化的国家至关重要。本文旨在根据对1990年至2020年期间国际移徙的宏观经济影响的评估,确定捐助国和受援国移徙动态的基本规律。这项研究利用了世界银行、联合国、国际移民组织、经济合作与发展组织等组织的定量测量方法,以及分析和统计资料。研究表明,尽管新冠肺炎大流行造成了障碍(预计未来几十年将会加剧),但近期的移民流动是一种持久趋势的组合,也包括危机和自然灾害引发的零星激增。各种人口趋势、气候引起的压力因素、变革性技术以及国家内部和国家之间日益加剧的不平等是当代国际移民的驱动力。与此同时,暴力、冲突和绝望导致人口突然大量流动,包括来自叙利亚、南苏丹、缅甸、委内瑞拉以及最近的乌克兰的人口流动。研究结果强调了国际移徙动态的复杂性和不可预测性。然而,不断扩大和改进的数据和信息资源可能会加强我们对日益不确定时期移民问题关键方面的理解。主要的研究结果提供了科学的新颖性,为理解调节迁移过程的因素的作用引入了一种全新的方法。研究结果的实际意义在于提出有助于制定和执行国家移徙政策的建议和提案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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