Prediction and Analysis of Global Temperature Based on BP and ELMAN Neural Networks

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Abstract

In order to explore the global climate evolution and change patterns, this article uses global temperature data from 1881 to 2020 for nearly 140 years, and based on the global temperature zone division model, constructs BP neural network and ELMAN neural network prediction models to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution trend of global temperature historical data. It is found that the average temperature in the northern and southern hemispheres began to significantly increase around 1950; based on the above model, it is predicted that the global annual average temperature will reach its peak around 2050 and continue to maintain around 16.6433℃ for the next fifty years.
基于BP和ELMAN神经网络的全球温度预测与分析
为探索全球气候演化变化规律,本文利用1881 - 2020年近140 a的全球气温数据,基于全球温区划分模型,构建BP神经网络和ELMAN神经网络预测模型,分析全球气温历史数据的时空演变趋势。结果表明,1950年前后,南北半球的平均气温开始显著升高;基于上述模型,预测全球年平均气温将在2050年左右达到峰值,未来50年将继续保持在16.6433℃左右。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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