Penerapan Algoritma Adaptive Response Rate Exponential Smoothing Terhadap Business Intelligence System

Abstract

PT. XYZ is one of the companies in the field of furniture sales by offering its flagship product, namely spring bed. The company's business continues to grow every year, of course, the company must be able to complete its work quickly and precisely. One of the main problems of the company is that the increase in company sales is still not able to cover the company's expenses and sometimes the company still suffers losses. This happens because companies often make mistakes in purchasing product inventory stock. Not all types of spring beds sell well, so sometimes purchases are made of the type of spring bed that is not selling well, which results in stock accumulation and instability of the company's cash inflow and outflow. In this study, a Business Intelligence System was built, which is a form of information technology implementation to store, collect and analyze data into knowledge so that it can be used as prediction results. The prediction algorithm used in this research is the Adaptive Response Rate Exponential algorithm. The expected goal of this research is to build a Business Intelligence System that can calculate product sales predictions in the following month using the Adaptive Response Rate Exponential Smoothing (ARRES) algorithm. Based on the results of the MAPE test, it can be concluded that the percentage of prediction accuracy from the ARRES algorithm on the sales transaction data of PT. XYZ is 53.33% which is categorized as quite accurate and the percentage of prediction error from the ARRES method is 46.67% which is categorized as reasonable