Discourse on the Energy Transition and Its Impact on Global Energy Policy

Roman V. Antoshkin
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Abstract

The relevance of the research topic is determined by the need for a balanced assessment and comprehensive analysis of the fourth energy transition and its features. The author examines the causes of the beginning of the transition and its political, economic, and social consequences. Sociopolitical features directly affecting the development of the energy transition and its pace are discussed in the article. Separately, the possible conse-quences of neglecting the economic foundations of the energy sector and replacing them with politically moti-vated decisions are explored. The research methodology includes the analysis of scientific publications by Russian and foreign authors, as well as logical and structural analysis. The use of a systemic approach allows for considering the energy transition as a single system with multiple interacting subsystems. The author con-cludes that the key factor and at the same time the main distinguishing feature of the fourth energy transition is political expediency. However, the author notes that substituting economic expediency with political expediency can lead to reduced energy accessibility worldwide, decreased investment, and social tension. Minimizing negative consequences is possible through harmonious and consistent development of the energy transition based on the use of market mechanisms.
论能源转型及其对全球能源政策的影响
研究课题的相关性取决于对第四次能源转型及其特征的平衡评估和综合分析的必要性。作者考察了转型开始的原因及其政治、经济和社会后果。本文讨论了直接影响能源转型发展及其速度的社会政治特征。另外,还探讨了忽视能源部门的经济基础并以政治动机决定取而代之的可能后果。研究方法包括对俄罗斯和外国作者的科学出版物的分析,以及逻辑和结构分析。系统方法的使用允许将能量转换视为具有多个相互作用的子系统的单个系统。作者认为,第四次能源转型的关键因素和主要特征是政治权宜之计。然而,作者指出,用政治上的权宜之计取代经济上的权宜之计可能会导致全球能源可及性降低、投资减少和社会紧张。通过在利用市场机制的基础上协调一致地发展能源转型,可以最大限度地减少负面后果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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