The Impact of Employment and Education on the Economic Growth of Pakistan: A Time-series Analysis

Saima Wasim, Hasan Raza, Syed Aamir Alam Rizvi, Mumtaz Ali
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Abstract

Economic development is a fundamental need for the nation of Pakistan. The independent variables in this research can have a direct influence on economic growth. The present research examines the influence of employment and education on the economic development of Pakistan throughout the period spanning from 1981 to 2022. Regression analysis was done to check the short-run and long-run relationship among GDP growth rate, education, and employment. The study implies an augmented-dickey fuller test to check the stationarity of the variables and error terms. In addition, the tests of Ramsey Reset, multi-collinearity, and heteroscedasticity have also been employed in the study. The results of the study indicate the importance of promoting education and the creation of employment opportunities, which in turn will provide a nation with rapid and sustained economic expansion over an extended period. Education and economic growth were shown to be correlated in the short term, but employment and growth were not. The study proposes boosting educational spending to make it more accessible to the public and raising school and higher education enrolment to boost Pakistan's literacy rate. Education quality and quantity should be prioritized. The government should also create jobs and invest in R&D to boost labor force participation and efficiency.
巴基斯坦就业和教育对经济增长的影响:一个时间序列分析
经济发展是巴基斯坦的根本需要。本研究中的自变量可以对经济增长产生直接影响。本研究考察了1981年至2022年期间巴基斯坦就业和教育对经济发展的影响。通过回归分析检验GDP增长率与教育、就业三者之间的短期和长期关系。该研究暗示了一个增强的迪基富勒检验来检查变量和误差项的平稳性。此外,本研究还采用了Ramsey Reset检验、多重共线性检验和异方差检验。这项研究的结果表明了促进教育和创造就业机会的重要性,这反过来将使一个国家在较长时期内实现快速和持续的经济扩张。在短期内,教育和经济增长显示出相关性,但就业和经济增长则不然。该研究建议增加教育支出,使公众更容易获得教育,并提高学校和高等教育的入学率,以提高巴基斯坦的识字率。教育的质量和数量要放在首位。为了提高劳动参与率和效率,政府也应该创造工作岗位和投资于r&d。
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