AUKUS AS AN EFFECTIVE RESPONSE TO THE PROSPECTIVE LIMITATION OF AMERICAN DOMINATION IN THE INDO-PACIFIC

Piotr Mickiewicz
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Abstract

The establishment of the AUKUS system by the USA, Great Britain and Australia is a tangible proof of the change in the American maritime strategy and the rivalry with China for influence in the Indo-Pacific. Including Australia in the efforts to curb Chinese regional expansion is an undoubted success of Washington, which has skilfully used both the weaknesses of the QUAD agreement and the Australia-India-Indonesia trilateral cooperation to persuade Canberra to redefine its policy towards China and the region itself. As a result, Australia is becoming not only the second most important ally of the USA after Great Britain, but also the most important maritime player in the Indian Ocean. This status also poses a threat to the US, as it will weaken the community of interests with India and – to a lesser extent – with Saudi Arabia. Moreover, American politicians must accept the fact that they will be co-makers of policies in the Indo-Pacific region and that sometimes – in their own interest – they will be forced to remain passive in the face of actions taken by Canberra. The aim of the article is to analyze the political significance of the AUKUS agreement for American politics and to assess the possibility of its potential transformation into a political alliance or a regional maritime security complex. This assessment will be made based on the analysis of strategic documents of the signatories of the agreement and political and economic conditions in the Indo-Pacific region. The issue of approval by the American political establishment for recognizing Australia as an independent political player in this region was considered a major threat to the implementation of this political concept.
奥库斯是对美国在印太地区的统治可能受到限制的有效回应
美国、英国和澳大利亚建立AUKUS体系是美国海洋战略变化以及与中国在印太地区争夺影响力的切实证据。将澳大利亚纳入遏制中国地区扩张的努力无疑是华盛顿的成功,它巧妙地利用了四国战略伙伴关系协议和澳大利亚-印度-印度尼西亚三边合作的弱点,说服堪培拉重新定义其对中国和该地区本身的政策。因此,澳大利亚不仅成为美国仅次于英国的第二大盟友,也是印度洋上最重要的海上参与者。这一地位也对美国构成了威胁,因为它将削弱美国与印度的利益共同体,并在较小程度上削弱美国与沙特阿拉伯的利益共同体。此外,美国政界人士必须接受这样一个事实:他们将是印太地区政策的共同制定者,有时——为了自己的利益——他们将被迫在堪培拉采取的行动面前保持被动。本文的目的是分析AUKUS协议对美国政治的政治意义,并评估其潜在转变为政治联盟或区域海上安全综合体的可能性。这一评估将以分析签署国的战略文件和印太地区的政治、经济状况为基础进行。美国政治建制派是否同意承认澳大利亚在该地区是一个独立的政治参与者,被认为是对这一政治概念实施的主要威胁。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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