FORECASTING METHODS AND THE CONSTRUCTIVIST APPROACH TO SOCIAL REALITY

Abstract

In the process of social forecasting, a wide range of methods borrowed from various disciplines is used. J.P. Martino [8] singled out four main approaches to forecasting methods: exploratory, comparative, causal, and probabilistic. These approaches can be used in combination and adapted to the available data. It is common to distinguish between qualitative and quantitative methods. If quantitative methods, as a rule, use numerical data and math calculations, then qualitative methods use intuition, invention, hypothesis, and judgment. They may or may not be empirically based.