Co-movement Analysis of Foreign Exchange Reserve Volatility in BRICS Countries

Huiwen Wang
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Abstract

Foreign exchange reserves are an important component of a country's official reserve assets and an important indicator of a country's international liquidity. As representatives of emerging market countries and developing countries, the volatility of the foreign exchange reserves of the BRICS countries is crucial to the world. Studying whether there is volatility of foreign exchange reserves among the five countries is conducive to adjusting the direction of foreign exchange reserve management within the country, better exploring ways to promote the development of the foreign exchange reserve market, and is also of great significance to the future economic cooperation among the five countries. This study uses the correlation coefficient method, Granger causality test and cluster analysis to prove that there is indeed co-movement in the volatility of foreign exchange reserves among the BRICS countries.
金砖国家外汇储备波动的联动分析
外汇储备是一国官方储备资产的重要组成部分,是衡量一国国际流动性的重要指标。作为新兴市场国家和发展中国家的代表,金砖国家外汇储备的波动对世界至关重要。研究五国之间的外汇储备是否存在波动性,有利于调整各国内部外汇储备管理的方向,更好地探索促进外汇储备市场发展的途径,对五国未来的经济合作也具有重要意义。本研究运用相关系数法、格兰杰因果检验和聚类分析,证明金砖国家外汇储备波动确实存在协同运动。
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