Updates on Pipeline Integrity Reliability Targets

Alex Nemeth, S. Hassanien, Len Leblanc
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Abstract

The use of integrity reliability science is becoming a prevalent element in the pipeline integrity management process. One of the key elements in this process is defining what integrity reliability targets to achieve in order to maintain the safety of the system. IPC2016-64425 presented different industry approaches around the area of defining reliability target levels for pipelines. It discussed the importance of setting operators’ specific integrity target reliability levels, how to choose such targets, and how to determine the safety of a pipeline asset by comparing the probability of failure (PoF) against an integrity permissible probability of failure (PoFp) while keeping an eye on the estimated expected number of failures. Building upon the previous discussion, this paper reviews a risk-based approach for estimating integrity reliability targets that account for the consequence of a potential release. Given available technical publications, the as low as reasonably practicable (ALARP) concept, and operators’ specific risk tolerances, there is room for improving the communication of integrity reliability along with selected targets. The paper describes how codes, standards, and operators set reliability targets, how operator specific targets can be chosen, and how industry currently recommends liquid pipelines reliability targets. Moreover, the paper proposes different approaches to define practical reliability targets coupled with an integrity risk-informed decision making framework.
管道完整性可靠性目标的更新
完整性可靠性科学的应用正在成为管道完整性管理过程中一个普遍的因素。在这个过程中,一个关键因素是确定要达到什么样的完整性可靠性目标,以保持系统的安全性。IPC2016-64425围绕定义管道可靠性目标水平的领域提出了不同的行业方法。讨论了设定作业者特定完整性目标可靠性水平的重要性,如何选择这样的目标,以及如何通过比较故障概率(PoF)和完整性允许故障概率(PoFp)来确定管道资产的安全性,同时密切关注估计的预期故障数量。在前面讨论的基础上,本文回顾了一种基于风险的方法,用于估计考虑潜在发布后果的完整性可靠性目标。考虑到现有的技术出版物、尽可能低的合理可行(ALARP)概念以及运营商的特定风险承受能力,在选定目标的同时,完整性可靠性的沟通仍有改进的空间。本文描述了规范、标准和运营商如何设定可靠性目标,运营商如何选择特定的目标,以及行业目前如何推荐液体管道可靠性目标。此外,本文提出了不同的方法来定义实际的可靠性目标,并结合完整性风险知情的决策框架。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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