Toward an Integrated Practice of Behavioral Conflict Management

G. Jones
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Abstract

Conflict resolution is about decision making. Because decision outcomes for conflicting parties depend, at least to some extent, on the decisions of other parties to the conflict, as well as a multitude of external circumstances and third party decision making, these decisions are always made under conditions of uncertainty or risk. Conflict management is about guiding this decision making in such a manner as to mitigate this risk to the greatest extent possible. Expected utility and subjective expected utility have contributed to the development of a normative theory of decision making under uncertainty that is economically maximizing, with possible allowances for differently shaped utility curves. On the other hand, substantial empirical efforts have contributed descriptive theories of decision making under uncertainty that attempt to address departures from the purely rational model - departures that importantly often prove to be quite robust and predictable across a wide range of decision making contexts. This Essay proposes an agenda for conflict management research that seeks to leverage both the rational expectation models and the behavioral theories describing predictable deviations from these models to arrive at prescriptions for conflict management practice that can build a bridge between theory and practice, offering practical techniques and concrete guidelines for improvement. Specific ways that these insights can contribute to the development of conflict management practice are considered.
行为冲突管理的综合实践
解决冲突就是做决定。因为冲突各方的决策结果至少在某种程度上取决于冲突中其他各方的决策,以及大量的外部环境和第三方决策,这些决策总是在不确定或有风险的条件下做出的。冲突管理就是以这样一种方式来指导决策制定,以最大程度地减轻这种风险。期望效用和主观期望效用促进了不确定性下决策规范理论的发展,这种不确定性在经济上是最大化的,并可能允许不同形状的效用曲线。另一方面,大量的实证研究贡献了不确定性下决策的描述性理论,这些理论试图解决对纯粹理性模型的偏离——重要的是,在广泛的决策环境中,偏离往往被证明是相当稳健和可预测的。本文提出了冲突管理研究的议程,旨在利用理性预期模型和描述这些模型可预测偏差的行为理论,为冲突管理实践提供处方,从而在理论和实践之间建立桥梁,提供实用技术和具体的改进指导方针。这些见解可以促进冲突管理实践发展的具体方式被考虑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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