MODELS DESCRIBING THE ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS OF POLLUTANT EMISSIONS BY ROAD TRANSPORT

Xindi Huang, N. Yudina
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Abstract

Air pollution is the most serious environmental problem facing most industrial cities in the world and in China. The World Health Organization measured the concentration of sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide and total suspended particulate matter in 272 cities in 53 countries around the world, listing the ten most severely polluted cities in the world. The spatial and temporal distribu-tion of air pollutants depends on various factors such as the meteorological field, the source of emissions, the complex bottom surface of the site, the interplay of physical and chemical processes, and has strong non-linear characteristics [5]. Air quality forecasting is commonly used in the field of statistical forecasting methods, according to long-term monitoring data, the creation of a statisti-cal forecasting model, the model is simple, easy to operate business, but no solid physical founda-tion, and another numerical forecasting model based on atmospheric physics and material transfer model although the physical foundation is solid, comprehensive forecast results, but the forecast results are not reliable. Already in the 1950s, the system of meteorology of air pollution was gradu-ally formed, the box model, the Gaussian model, the Lagrange model, the Euler model, the dense gas model and other five types of models appeared. The first Gaussian model allows one to obtain a diffusion model of a local small-scale space and make predictions, then, based on the Gaussian model of the study, a modified model is obtained for other reliefs and weather conditions. There-fore, the modeling accuracy and applicable conditions are difficult to cope with the needs of large-scale complex meteorological conditions of air quality models.
描述公路运输排放污染物对环境影响的模型
空气污染是世界和中国大多数工业城市面临的最严重的环境问题。世界卫生组织测量了全球53个国家272个城市的二氧化硫、二氧化氮和总悬浮颗粒物的浓度,列出了世界上污染最严重的10个城市。大气污染物的时空分布取决于气象场、排放源、场地复杂底面、物理化学过程的相互作用等多种因素,具有较强的非线性特征[5]。空气质量预报领域常用的是统计预报方法,根据长期监测数据,建立统计预报模型,该模型简单,业务操作方便,但没有坚实的物理基础,而另一种基于大气物理和物质传递的数值预报模型虽然物理基础扎实,预报结果全面,但预报结果不可靠。早在20世纪50年代,大气污染气象学体系就逐渐形成,先后出现了箱形模型、高斯模型、拉格朗日模型、欧拉模型、致密气体模型等五类模型。第一个高斯模型可以得到局部小尺度空间的扩散模型并进行预测,然后在本研究的高斯模型的基础上,得到其他地形和天气条件的修正模型。因此,模型的精度和适用条件难以应付大尺度复杂气象条件下空气质量模型的需要。
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