The Great Recession: Evidence of Institutional Evolution?

David Mcclough
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Abstract

Similar to previous financial crises, the 2007-2008 financial crisis, for many, appeared sudden and without warning. In fact, there was extensive evidence that presaged a crisis. In the aftermath of the crisis, commentators have provided numerous narratives to explain the occurrence. Explanations either imply or directly support the assertion that evidence was ignored by all the major players in the financial system, notably government regulators, banks, insurance companies, ratings agencies, and speculators. Indications of increased risk did not, as commentators assume ex post facto, inspire risk mitigating defensive responses by private sector institutions or intervention by government regulators. Rather, the elevated risk encouraged increased risk taking motivated by expectations of greater profit. Commentators lament the failure of the system, but, of course, the system operated per design and accepted practice. Ongoing economic challenges reflect the shortcomings of economic theory and public policy to serve the broader society as celebrated by Adam Smith more than two centuries ago. More than a century ago, Thorstein Veblen examined the functioning of business enterprises. He observed that the orientation of business had transformed from production to finance. This essay applies the writings of Thorstein Veben to the financial crisis of 2007-2008. Further, the analysis examines common explanations of the crises by commentators responding the crisis. 1 McClough: The Great Recession: Evidence of Institutional Evolution? Published by Carroll Collected, 2020
大衰退:制度演变的证据?
与以往的金融危机类似,对许多人来说,2007-2008年的金融危机突如其来,毫无预警。事实上,有大量证据预示着一场危机。在危机过后,评论家们提供了许多解释这一事件的说法。这些解释或暗示或直接支持这样一种说法,即金融体系中的所有主要参与者,尤其是政府监管机构、银行、保险公司、评级机构和投机者,都忽视了证据。正如评论人士事后假设的那样,风险增加的迹象并没有促使私人部门机构做出降低风险的防御反应,也没有促使政府监管机构进行干预。相反,风险的增加鼓励了更多的风险承担,这是由对更大利润的期望所驱动的。评论员哀叹这个系统的失败,但是,当然,这个系统是按照设计和公认的惯例运行的。持续的经济挑战反映了经济理论和公共政策在为更广泛的社会服务方面的缺陷,正如亚当•斯密(Adam Smith)在两个多世纪前所歌颂的那样。一个多世纪以前,Thorstein Veblen研究了商业企业的运作。他指出,商业的方向已从生产转向金融。本文将托斯坦·维本的著作应用于2007-2008年的金融危机。此外,分析还考察了应对危机的评论家对危机的常见解释。大衰退:制度演变的证据?卡罗尔收集出版,2020年
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