Investment capacity prediction of Power Grid Enterprise based on Self-organizing Data Mining Technology

Juhua Hong, Lin Liu, Ziqiang Tang, Keyao Lin, Xiaofeng Li, Mou Yu
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Abstract

With the expansion of power grid investment demand and investment scale, the research on power grid enterprises' investment capacity is particularly important. This paper expounds the basic principle of self-organizing Data Mining technology, and on this basis, establishes the GMDH model of power grid enterprises' investment capacity prediction, describes the process of establishing the model in detail. Then, the indicator system of power grid enterprises' investment capacity factors is constructed, and the GMDH model is used to forecast and analyze the investment capacity of HM Grid Company based on the data of factors from 2008 to 2020. The research results show that the GMDH model of grid enterprise investment capacity prediction is robust, not only can avoid artificial interference, self-organized selection of influencing factors, and meet the requirements of objectivity and authenticity, but also has a good prediction performance, high prediction accuracy, and more reliable prediction results, which provides new thoughts and approaches of measuring the investment capacity of grid enterprise.
基于自组织数据挖掘技术的电网企业投资能力预测
随着电网投资需求和投资规模的扩大,对电网企业投资能力的研究显得尤为重要。阐述了自组织数据挖掘技术的基本原理,并在此基础上建立了电网企业投资能力预测的GMDH模型,详细描述了模型的建立过程。然后,构建电网企业投资能力因子指标体系,利用GMDH模型对HM电网公司2008 - 2020年投资能力因子数据进行预测分析。研究结果表明,电网企业投资能力预测的GMDH模型鲁棒性好,不仅可以避免人为干扰,自组织选择影响因素,满足客观性和真实性的要求,而且预测性能好,预测精度高,预测结果更加可靠,为衡量电网企业投资能力提供了新的思路和方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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