PRIORITIZING TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS AT EARLY STAGES OF PROJECTS

I. Gamalath, L. Perera, S. Bandara
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Abstract

Investment on transport infrastructure is a significant component in a country’s budget as it is identified as a key factor to facilitate the country’s development. At the same time demand for transportation is positively correlated with the development. With this increasing demand for transport infrastructure and limited funding available, it is necessary to prioritise appropriate projects. Current appraisal practices at the early stages of projects fail to identify some important criterions and therefore, may ultimately end up not selecting the most appropriate project(s) which addresses contemporary concerns. Therefore the objective of this study is to identify a cost effective method and factors that should be considered in evaluating alternatives at the early stages of transport infrastructure projects. Both academic and grey literature was reviewed to identify current practises; methodologies and factors concerned in the recent past. Most of the time feasibility reports used descriptive format and often gave vague conclusions. Therefore the final selection of alternative(s) is implicit.  A performance matrix was developed in this study based on multi criteria analysis linear additive model. This method was primarily selected as it is easy to use in practise. In addition to the traditional criterions, this matrix contains new criterions that should be looked into with the current interests. A case study for Kandy expressway alternative selection based on this developed performance matrix is presented in this paper. In addition to the new matrix, a modified scoring system was used in the analysis to minimise the variations, as scores are given by different experts. Further, analysis was compared with the view of different experts and results of sensitivity analysis to address the possible arguments on weight given to each criterion.
在项目的早期阶段优先考虑运输基础设施项目
交通基础设施投资是一个国家预算的重要组成部分,因为它被确定为促进国家发展的关键因素。同时,交通需求与发展呈正相关。由于对交通基础设施的需求不断增加,而现有资金有限,有必要优先考虑适当的项目。目前在项目早期阶段的评估做法未能确定一些重要的标准,因此,最终可能无法选择解决当前关注的最适当的项目。因此,本研究的目的是找出一种具有成本效益的方法,以及在运输基础设施项目的早期阶段评估备选方案时应考虑的因素。对学术文献和灰色文献进行了回顾,以确定当前的做法;最近的过去所涉及的方法和因素。可行性报告大多采用描述性的形式,往往给出模糊的结论。因此,备选方案的最终选择是隐含的。在多准则分析线性加性模型的基础上,建立了性能矩阵。之所以选择这种方法,主要是因为它在实践中易于使用。除了传统的标准之外,这个矩阵还包含了新的标准,应该根据当前的利益来研究。本文以康提高速公路为例,介绍了基于该性能矩阵的方案选择。除了新的矩阵,在分析中使用了一个修改的评分系统,以尽量减少变化,因为分数是由不同的专家给出的。此外,分析比较了不同专家的观点和敏感性分析的结果,以解决每个标准的权重可能存在的争论。
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