Pension Assets Investments in the Nigerian Economy

O. Olulu-Briggs
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Abstract

This study looked into pension assets investments and its impact in the Nigerian economy. The investments includes quarterly reports of corporate debt securities, government bond securities, mutual funds’ investments, money market instruments, private equity funds and real estate securities from 2004 – 2020, and was sourced from the statistics database of the National Pension Commission, the Central Bank of Nigeria and the World data bank. The statistical measures used to analyze the data are the descriptive test, Unit root test, Co-integration test, Vector error correction, Causality and Impulse response function. The outcome of the analysis show that the variables were stationary after first differences were taken; and were also co-integrated at 2 lags indicating that both short and long run equilibrium relationship exist among the variables. From the vector error correction model, previous years’ deviations from long run equilibrium had a 0.09% speed of adjustment; leading to a short run equilibrium. The Causality test reveal that changes in government bond securities lead to changes in real estate securities and changes in money market investments leads to changes in government bond securities. In addition, the impulse response demonstrates that a shock to the system produces more negative responses than positive ones. The study thus recommends that the pension industry should vigorously create more awareness on the importance of employee pension plan; develop more e-channels to help rake in investible funds as well as develop more innovative products to support diversification of pension fund in different assets classes among others.
尼日利亚经济中的养老金资产投资
本研究调查了养老金资产投资及其对尼日利亚经济的影响。这些投资包括2004年至2020年公司债务证券、政府债券证券、共同基金投资、货币市场工具、私募股权基金和房地产证券的季度报告,并来自国家养老金委员会、尼日利亚中央银行和世界数据银行的统计数据库。用于分析数据的统计方法有描述性检验、单位根检验、协整检验、向量误差校正、因果关系和脉冲响应函数。分析结果表明,取一阶差分后,各变量是平稳的;并在2个滞后点协整,表明变量之间存在短期和长期均衡关系。从矢量误差修正模型来看,历年与长期均衡的偏差调整速度为0.09%;导致短期均衡。因果关系检验表明,政府债券证券的变动导致房地产证券的变动,货币市场投资的变动导致政府债券证券的变动。此外,脉冲响应表明,对系统的冲击产生的负响应多于正响应。因此,研究建议养老金行业应大力树立员工养老金计划的重要性意识;发展更多的电子渠道,以吸引可投资的资金,并开发更多创新产品,以支持养老基金在不同资产类别的多元化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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