The Effectiveness of the Value Investment Theory During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Using the Heavy Asset Industry as an Example

Quanxiong Zhou, Yuming Liu
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Value Investing Strategy is one of the most favourable investment methods. However, under the complexity and fluctuation brought by the influence of COVID-19, the effectiveness of value investing strategy remains in question. The paper uses heavy asset industry as a target industry and strive to understand the performance of value investing in such industry under the effects of the pandemic. Specifically, four companies are selected in our study to analysis their performance using value investing ratios, including two representative companies(H&E Equipment Services, Inc., United Rentals, Inc., Sonic Automotive, Inc., and O’Reilly Automotive, Inc.)of the heavy asset industry and their competitors, which are considered as value stocks (before COVID-19). The evaluation standard ratios are grouped into four aspects, representing the company’s prices, profit abilities, growth, and stabilities. The study first compares the subjects’ performances in the same periods in 2019 (before COVID-19) and 2020 (after the initiation of COVID-19). In order to eliminate the noise of the influence of normal business cycles, the performance of subjects in the same periods from 2018 to 2019 are supplied as an addition to the previous data. According to the results, the subjects’ performances deviate from the ideal value investing criteria as well as their expected future performance predicted based on their normal performance in the 2018~2019 period (without COVID-19’s influence). Therefore, value investing strategy incurs questionable efficiency under the context of COVID-19, i.e., the relevance of value investing application ought to be reconsidered under such an abnormal economic environment.
新冠肺炎疫情期间价值投资理论的有效性——以重资产行业为例
价值投资策略是最受欢迎的投资方法之一。然而,在新冠疫情影响带来的复杂性和波动性下,价值投资策略的有效性仍然受到质疑。本文以重资产行业为目标行业,努力了解疫情影响下重资产行业价值投资的表现。具体来说,我们在研究中选择了四家公司,使用价值投资比率来分析它们的业绩,包括重资产行业的两家代表性公司(H&E Equipment Services, Inc., United Rentals, Inc., Sonic Automotive, Inc.和O 'Reilly Automotive, Inc.)及其竞争对手,这两家公司被视为价值股(在COVID-19之前)。评价标准比率分为四个方面,分别代表公司的价格、盈利能力、成长性和稳定性。该研究首先比较了2019年(新冠病毒爆发前)和2020年(新冠病毒爆发后)受试者在同一时期的表现。为了消除正常经济周期影响的噪声,我们在之前的数据基础上补充了2018 - 2019年同期的被试业绩。结果显示,被试在2018~2019年期间(不受新冠肺炎影响)的表现偏离了理想价值投资标准,也偏离了根据其正常表现预测的预期未来表现。因此,在新冠疫情背景下,价值投资策略的有效性受到质疑,在这种异常的经济环境下,价值投资应用的相关性需要重新思考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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